“Rita, you’re a convicted felon, and now you’re an escaped con.” – The Adventures of Brisco County Jr.
They fired me from the clock factory because of all the extra hours that I’m putting in.
- Those who have an opposing ideology are considered evil.
- People actively avoid being near those of opposing ideology. Might move from communities or states just because of ideology.
- Common violence. Organized violence is occurring monthly.
- Common violence that is generally deemed by governmental authorities as justified based on ideology.
- Opposing sides develop governing/war structures. Just in case.
- Open War.
Volume VI, Issue 1
All memes except for the clock and graphs are “as found”.
This is a moving situation, and things are changing quickly. The advice remains. Avoid crowds. Get out of cities. Now. A year too soon is better than one day too late.
In this issue: Front Matter – The Trump Trigger– Violence and Censorship Update – Biden’s Misery Index – Updated Civil War 2.0 Index – Stairway to Where? – Links
Front Matter
Welcome to the latest issue of the Civil War II Weather Report. These posts are different than the other posts at Wilder Wealthy and Wise and consist of smaller segments covering multiple topics around the single focus of Civil War 2.0, on the first or second Monday of every month. I’ve created a page (LINK) for links to all of the past issues. Also, subscribe because you’ll join nearly 850 other people and get every single Wilder post delivered to your inbox, M-W-F at or before 7:30AM Eastern, free of charge.
Civil War Weather Report Previous Posts
The Trump Trigger
Donald Trump scared the hell out of the GloboLeftElite when he was elected. I’m fairly certain that he makes many of GloboLeft rank and file lose sleep when they think about him being re-elected.
Rand Paul was quoted in Zero Hedge® (a reader sent this in):
“I worry about strife. I worry about war in the streets. I worry about 50 percent of the public believing that the court system will be used against them . . . I worry when half the country thinks they won’t be treated fairly, what happens and how people react.”
Huh, I thought he was dead.
Where we sit now, Trump may never spend a day in the pokey. And he may never even be convicted – yes, there’s a jury verdict, but until the judge finds him convicted, there’s just a vote by a jury of twelve GloboLeft peers, one of which may have violated the rules and talked about the proceedings.
Oops. There are other very, very valid reasons that Trump has for appeal – selective prosecution among them not identifying the charge against him – they never specified the other crime that Trump supposedly committed.
Rand Paul is right. The judicial system has been weaponized at every level against Trump. The fact that the Federalist Society has produced a slate of judges over the past several decades that aren’t woke Sotomayor-level GloboHomo soldiers will apply actual justice at the federal level.
But what if they don’t?
If Trump is convicted and sent to prison that will a very dark day in history – one that will show to millions of normies that the republic is irretrievably lost, a conclusion that many on the TradRight have come to years if not decades ago.
Does this lead to immediate chaos? This is a tough one – I tend to think not, but then again, the number of people that support Trump and MAGA are significant. It will be a sign that businesses need to create a quick exodus from New York, California, or any other location where the business has a political difference with the GloboLeftElite agenda. I mean, it’s not like elections matter.
But I’m told it was a FaiR ElEctIoN.
Perhaps Musk moving to Texas is beginning to make a lot more sense. On the bright side, it means that the Republic of Texas will be born with it’s own space force.
Violence and Censorship Update
The issues in Israel have done several things – they’ve increased the level of fighting in the GloboLeft as the Pro-Palestine wing and the Pro-Israel wings slug it out. As Bracken notes, it is a weird GloboLeft/Palestine alliance.
Of course, as soon as the GloboLeft makes one of their crappy villages, they . . . put up the borders that they claim to hate.
The other side of the coin is the reaction in Congress, which is entirely at odds with that pesky 1st Amendment:
And, Massey has a very good question, especially since they committed $300,000 to ads attacking him:
Oh, and questioning the “Muh Immigration is Good” narrative is worth a banning:
They’re still trying to ban JK Rowling for telling the truth:
Propaganda, anyone?
Oh, it’s not like they’re trying to suppress anything . . .
Biden’s Misery Index
Let’s take a look to see how we’ve done this month . . . .
Yup, up again. It’s like there’s a pattern here . . .
Updated Civil War II Index
The Civil War II graphs are an attempt to measure four factors that might make Civil War II more likely, in real time. They are broken up into Violence, Political Instability, Economic Outlook, and Illegal Alien Crossings. As each of these is difficult to measure, I’ve created for three of the four metrics some leading indicators that combine to become the index. On illegal aliens, I’m just using government figures.
Violence:
Violence is up, a little. I wonder if Chicago’s Democratic National Convention is going to spike temperatures?
Political Instability:
Up is more unstable, and it is slightly down. I expect this fall to be a bit more crazy.
Economic:
Economic numbers are up a bit. But so are prices.
Illegal Aliens:
Second Highest May is actually down. But the normies are waking up.
Stairway to Where?
History never repeats exactly, but the same themes keep coming up again and again. While there is no guarantee, there are patterns.
The lead up to civil war is often the same: misery, rising tensions, and too many elites fighting each other for scraps of power. The wars are often drastically different, and depend on things like ideology, geography, technology, and telepathy. Okay, maybe not telepathy, but the other ones all count.
But, just like Led Zepplin©, there are two paths you can go by . . . and two outcomes.
Broadly, when civil wars occur there two things that can happen as a result. The first one is what happened after the Russian Revolution or the American Civil War 1.0 – that is, a drastic reduction in freedom for citizens.
But I’ve been assured that everything is fine.
The American Civil war did increase the freedom of slaves, and granted them full citizenship, to be sure. But for the common man who hadn’t been a slave? Freedom declined. There had been a balancing act between the Several States and Fed.Gov, but after the Civil War was done, the States were no longer sovereign, and, in fact were nothing more than subdivisions of the federal government.
This was drastically different than what existed before. The Several States were recognized as just that, complete governments. They only banded together, reluctantly, to create an organism strong enough, just barely, to resist being beaten up and conquered by the various European powers.
After the American Civil War? The process of eliminating the rights of the Several States has been an ongoing battle every year since 1865, and, with a few exceptions, has been largely won by the United States.
If increased central control and tyranny are one outcome from a civil war, what’s the other?
Increased complexity. Think back to the fall of the Soviet Union. A huge, monolithic, multicultural tyranny if ever there was one. It looked to the world as if it would never be defeated – heck, the view of the Russians in the 1980s (I know, I was there) was that, while they didn’t have lots of different consumer products, they did have a huge technological edge over the West.
But when the end came, the fighting that did happen was minimal – the Soviet Union (like the multicultural British and Roman empires that came before) didn’t end so much with a red tide of blood, but rather a gradual realization that no one wanted to play anymore. The sad, shattered core of empire let all the parts fly to the wind.
I met the guy who puts the symbols on maps that say what things are. What a legend!
It seems that one key is the “multi-cultural” part. Whereas you could make the case that the United States had Irishmen and Scots and Norwegians bopping around back in 1860, the vast majority of Americans were just that, Americans descended from (by and large) stock from the United Kingdom with a common language and common religious and cultural heritage.
That led to Tyranny.
The seat of power of Imperial Russian was mainly . . . Russian. The Russian Revolution led to? Tyranny.
It seems that there is some tipping point where a Civil War results not in tyranny, but in Balkanization, heck, the name “Balkanization” is literally exactly what we’re talking about.
The more I think about it, unless there is a Caesar sitting in the wings (and I don’t see him) then we will end up Balkanizing after a Civil War.
Disagree? This is a newer thought, so, love to hear comments.
LINKS
As usual, links this month are courtesy of Ricky. Thanks so much, Ricky!!
Bad Guys
https://twitter.com/i/status/1788630900781047856
https://x.com/i/status/1797153228032815184
https://twitter.com/i/status/1787518756756901901
https://x.com/i/status/1795801690014429550
https://x.com/i/status/1790510753952194692
https://x.com/i/status/1796322999056163026
https://x.com/i/status/1797272685791117522
Good Guy
https://x.com/i/status/1797274250438476199
One Guy
https://www.actionnews5.com/2024/05/29/scjc-alleged-teen-triggerman-deadly-community-center-shooting-fired-self-defense-wont-be-prosecuted/
https://www.courtnewsohio.gov/cases/2024/SCO/0307/221482.asp
https://www.cbsnews.com/sacramento/news/man-shot-killed-overnight-in-a-carmichael-apartment-deputies-say/
https://apnews.com/article/roger-fortson-stand-your-ground-race-florida-2c6a585f3fa5b2bd21179b84ff258b1d#
Body Count
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/https-3A-2F-2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com-2Fpublic-2Fimages-2F04d489f3-35f1-4579-80f6-dc5babc003cf_936x528_png_92.jpg?itok=sQRpJ67q
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/https-3A-2F-2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com-2Fpublic-2Fimages-2F13892e0d-32cb-47c1-8cef-b2e1554b9e62_1456x972.jpeg_92.jpg?itok=HMg63_9I
https://cis.org/Report/ForeignBorn-Population-Grew-51-Million-Last-Two-Years
https://trac.syr.edu/whatsnew/email.240510.html
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/30142.jpeg?itok=jcgiDaxv
Vote Count
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/31/dinesh-dsouza-election-film-2000-mules-pulled.html
https://thefederalist.com/2024/05/13/heres-fresh-evidence-bidens-using-your-tax-dollars-to-turn-out-democrat-votes-in-2024/
https://www.uncoverdc.com/2024/05/13/the-georgia-state-election-board-ensures-2024-will-be-a-2020-repeat
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/officials-overseeing-elections-swing-states-doubt-2020-results/
Civil War
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/biden-uncivil-war-rages-rcna150666
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13447357/THIRTEEN-conservative-counties-Oregon-approve-ballot-measures-SECESSION-vote-join-non-woke-Idaho-issue-list-demands.html
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13452561/Divided-states-America-Oregon-Louisiana-campaigns-secession-taking-place-local-state-levels-succeeding.html
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/opinion-we-are-starting-to-enjoy-hatred/ar-BB1nm54r
https://x.com/seanmdav/status/1796301843338789070
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/billionaire-investor-ray-dalio-warns-115219371.html
https://amgreatness.com/2024/05/18/unpacking-ray-dalios-alarmist-prediction-of-civil-war/
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-hush-money-verdict-maga-civil-war-1906671
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2024/05/trump-trial-maga-internet-violence/678571/
https://www.wired.com/story/trump-guilty-verdict-online-maga-fanbase-war/
https://www.salon.com/2024/05/28/terrible-place-bill-maher-warns-a-civil-could-happen-here–some-already-pining-for-it/