Count de Monet: “It is said that the people are revolting.”
King Louis XVI: “You said it! They stink on ice.”
–History of the World, Part I
When I copy in these big clocks into my posts, it’s a huge paste of time.
- People actively avoid being near those of opposing ideology. Might move from communities or states just because of ideology.
- Common violence. Organized violence is occurring monthly.
- Opposing sides develop governing/war structures. Just in case.
- Common violence that is generally deemed by governmental authorities as justified based on ideology.
- Open War.
We are at step 9. Step 9. is, of course, two minutes to midnight. I didn’t move to step 9. last month because last month, violence was just happening. This month? Violence is being commonly justified by local and state authorities. When protesters a mob tore down a gate to access private property in St. Louis, which set the stage. When the Modern Sporting Lawyer™ and his wife pulled out firearms to protect themselves, the sane world cheered.
Yes, I recycled this one. Couldn’t resist.
That’s why a District Attorney vowed to find something, anything to charge this couple with. The one thing the mob cannot stand is decent, armed people standing up to the mob. The politicians have made the mob and know that it must be fed.
The fact that CHAZ/CHOP was allowed to exist, with the rampant lawlessness of the mob in charge for weeks was another sign. We are very, very close to open warfare.
I stole the clock metaphor from the (Leftist) Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists©. It’s a good metaphor, because it creates an immediacy. And I can and will go backwards if events justify it, though at this point it seems like no one wants to go backwards.
In this issue: Front Matter – A Year Down The Road – Violence and Censorship Update – Updated Civil War 2.0 Index – Links
Welcome to Issue 12 of the Civil War II Weather Report. These posts are different than the other posts at Wilder Wealthy and Wise and consist of smaller segments covering multiple topics around the single focus of Civil War 2.0, on the first or second Monday of every month. I’ve created a page (LINK) for links to all of the past issues. Also, feel free to subscribe and you’ll get every post delivered to your inbox, M-W-F at 7:30 Eastern.
A Year Down The Road
I started the Weather Reports a little over a year ago because I could see the changes coming faster and faster. I’ve been concerned about the economy since I read The Fourth Turning (The Economy, The Fourth Turning, Kondratieff, and You.) back around the year 2000. When you look at all of the trends – social, economic, political – I could see trouble on the horizon. If you want some in-depth thought on how The Fourth Turning is progressing, Jim over at The Burning Platform (LINK) is your man.
The 2007 housing price collapse wasn’t a surprise to me. When I bought my house, I was (fortunately) in the position to negotiate with my employer that they’d cover any loss on sale if I moved for them. As house prices were going up, up, up . . . they agreed. And why not? It wouldn’t cost them a dime.
It did. My house dropped 20% in price between when I bought it and when it finally sold two years after I moved out. I don’t give myself genius points for this, but when they offered me a loan that was nearly ten times my salary? With no income verification?
Yikes.
The tensions we face aren’t going away anytime soon, in fact they’re not anywhere near their peak. Those same social, economic, and political factors have gotten worse, not better in the last 20 years.
Is anything out of the question?
Will one more year down the road have as much change as we have seen in the last year?
Why wouldn’t it?
Are you ready for that?
Violence and Censorship Update
In the previous posts, it has been either violence or censorship that’s shown up in a month. This month? We get both. I’ll start with censorship.
What’s out? Statues. Toppling statues is censorship – censorship of the past. George Orwell described it well in his book, 1984:
“Every record has been destroyed or falsified, every book rewritten, every picture has been repainted, every statue and street building has been renamed, every date has been altered. And the process is continuing day by day and minute by minute.”
No bit of American history is safe, from George Washington to Thomas Jefferson to Teddy Roosevelt to “American Pioneers”, Spanish explorers, and black abolitionist Frederick Douglass. Yup. All have to go. And not by vote, not by decision, but by the raw power of the mob.
An episode of the British television classic Fawlty Towers has been removed because of offensive language, and the wind has done gone with Gone With The Wind, which had to be shuttered “temporarily” so that (pulls answer from hat) people won’t be offended.
So, history has been judged to be insufficiently woke.
Right now the media is so woke, it’s like they took NoDoze® with coffee and meth to get ready for their Gender Studies final.
YouTube® just concluded its next round of purges. Dozens of large channels with millions of views are now gone. The biggest personality banned was Stefan Molyneaux, philosopher and badthinker. His crime? Not sure. People think it’s because he has had guests (scientists) on in the past that indicate that there might be group differences in cognitive ability. Oops – can’t discuss that idea in 2020.
Among other channels that YouTube® suggested for me and that I listened to from time to time was The Iconoclast, a British guy on the Right who advocated for lower immigration into Great Britain. Now? Gone. Plus? A major newspaper published a story on The Iconoclast’s identity. In 2020, having the wrong views means going without a job.
But that’s not violence, right?
On Reddit®, I heard that over 2000 subreddits were banned. I had been to several of the banned subreddits in the past, and was a bit surprised. One of them, r/consoomers was specifically set up for self-improvement and rejection of globalist commercialism. A little politically incorrect?
Yup.
Now gone. Another dead subreddit is r/The_Donald. It’s crime? Can’t be sure. I think it was too popular, with over a million subscribers. And a group of a million people who like Donald Trump? Triggered!
Reddit™ made rule changes as well. They initially rolled out this new rule for commenting:
“While the rule on hate protects such groups, it does not protect all groups or all forms of identity. For example, the rule does not protect groups of people who are in the majority….”
After someone got on Wikipedia and figured out that, for instance, men are in the minority since there are more women in the world, the rule on protecting people from hate wouldn’t apply to people who were misogynist. Oops. They changed that rule.
But it sure showed what they were intending.
This is the biggest month of censorship against the Right in, well, ever. I expect it to get worse. The idea that Donald Trump could be re-elected is mind poison for the Left. Leftist fetishize politics as a religion – Trump is the ultimate demon. They will do everything and anything so that he isn’t re-elected.
Share this meme and help a Leftist lose sleep so they can stay woke.
I’d spend more time updating you on the violence of the past month, but it’s probably easier to update you on the places that weren’t violent. Modern Mayberry was one. Here, we watch the news and see the world falling apart, and it’s like there’s another country out there.
There is. It’s just waiting to be born.
Updated Civil War II Index
The Civil War II graphs are an attempt to measure four factors that might make Civil War II more likely, in real time. They are broken up into Violence, Political Instability, Economic Outlook, and Illegal Alien Crossings. As each of these is difficult to measure, I’ve created for three of the four metrics some leading indicators that lead to the index. On illegal aliens, I’m just using government figures.
June has been the worst month so far – economic, violence, and political instability are all in bad shape. It’s so bad that even the illegals don’t want to sneak across the border.
Violence:
Up is more violent. Violence had been down because everyone was stuck in the basement. I predicted that May would be mellow, and then we’d see the uptick in June. I was almost right, and now June has pegged the scale. This measure because the way it’s constructed, doesn’t go higher than 300. Yes, the Y-axis label shows 350, but that’s because I didn’t notice until I’d put the graph together and it’s 3AM.
Political Instability:
Up is more unstable. Instability is up only slightly, which might seem weird, but the system is still stable overall. I may look into another graph next month to measure political change, because it sure feels like we crossed over into a regime where big political changes are more likely – and this graph was meant more about the overthrow of a sitting president, hence the peak in December. I expect more instability heading into November, and may make some changes to the inputs next month.
Economic:
Down indicates worse economic conditions, and it’s down yet again. I’m hoping this is the worst that we’ll see, but I expect a market crash this month (July) or next.
Illegal Aliens:
Down is good, in theory. This is a statistic showing border apprehensions by the Border Patrol. Down, probably related to WuFlu, unemployment, and riots. This is at a five year low for this time of year.
LINKS
These are from Ricky this month:
Although the US Government has FINALLY stopped paying for the First Civil War…
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/last-person-receive-civil-war-pension-dies-180975049/
…worries about the Second Civil War continue to build….
https://www.theday.com/article/20200616/OP04/200619472
https://prospect.org/politics/americas-civil-war/
https://nationalinterest.org/feature/how-avoid-second-american-civil-war-163096
https://www.thetrace.org/2020/07/gun-background-checks-june-record/
https://www.thetrace.org/2020/06/boogaloo-gun-ammunition-marketing-facebook-instagram/
…which many think can be stopped just by not talking about it…
https://www.ocregister.com/2020/06/05/lets-knock-off-the-blithe-talk-of-a-coming-civil-war/
https://goducks.com/news/2020/6/26/general-uo-osu-series-no-longer-to-reference-civil-war.aspx
MSM says Antifa is not a national problem….
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/google-top-stories-featured-false-news-rumored-antifa-civil-war
https://prospect.org/civil-rights/antifa-all-around-trump-media-fox-news-fear-protests/
https://time.com/5008829/antifa-november-4-rumors/
…it’s the Boogaloo Bois that are the threat…
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/29/style/boogaloo-hawaiian-shirt.html
https://theintercept.com/2020/06/10/boogaloo-boys-george-floyd-protests/
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/boogaloo-movement-recent-violent-attacks/story?id=71295536
https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/03/us/boogaloo-extremist-protests-invs/index.html
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/06/19/what-is-boogaloo-movement/3204899001/
https://www.voanews.com/usa/race-america/boogaloo-boys-aim-provoke-2nd-us-civil-war
…but Facebook will save us….
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-53244339
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/ryanmac/facebook-instagram-profit-boogaloo-ads
https://www.inventiva.co.in/stories/priyadharshini/facebooks-boogaloo-ban-is-it-too-late/
…meanwhile, Small Town America simmers….
https://www.sltrib.com/news/2020/07/01/three-groups-plan-gather/
https://www.gazettenet.com/Sanger-letter-34596978
…and maybe there are investing strategies for the Civil War?
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2020-07-03/trading-and-investing-americas-second-civil-war
John – – I suspect that your latest Civil War Weather Report was about 95% complete when I sent you the photos, link to a short video and article/report on the appx 110 man black militia that made a demonstration at Stone Mountain near Atlanta this weekend. Stone Mountain is a huge bas relief carving of Jefferson Davis, Robert E. Lee and Stonewall Jackson, a Confederate Monument, the largest anywhere.
I feel certain that you would have mentioned it in your edition if there had been time. However, I am sorta curious as to how that demonstration might have been included/worked in on your “Weather Report”. Note: it was peaceful even though the rhetoric wasn’t…..
Here is a portion of that email, provided for the benefit of your many readers/followers:
They are going to get the race war that they are asking for…..
Problem is that the people they say they are helping are gonna be chewed up in the process.
But Commies gotta Commie…….it is what they live for….their religion. All those innocents who get in the way are just so much debris. Leftists only care that their motivations are emotionally correct according to their warped dogma and situational ethics. How things turn out is not as important as starting out with the proper motivations…..
The Commies think they can control the Black Moslems and the Moslems know they will never be controlled by anti-religion homosexual transgendered abortion-loving lunatics….
1 3/4 min Video: https://youtu.be/1H_S3YyXz8U
David DeG asks:
If one hundred white, armed militia showed up calling for the formation of a white ethnostate inside the United States……
( to which I ask: And exactly what do you think the media and the F.B.Lie would then do ?)
Article source:
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/were-your-house-lets-go-black-militia-challenges-white-militia-confederate-monument
Organizing continues . . . I’ll make sure to include in next month. So much material.
Trump is sort of a totem for the Marxists. Hating Orange Man Bad is like Muslims throwing pebbles at a wall to smite the devil. Calling him Drumpf and posting daily about White supremacy is a religious obligation. It is like he has taken on a supernatural aspect for the Left.
What is also quietly simmering, and the media is trying hard to suppress it, is that violence in the black community is getting crazy. They are always pretty violent in the summer but now with the cops backing off, it is getting wild in the cities. Just imagine next summer when Biden is in office, quietly drooling into his bib, and VP Kamala Harris is pulling the strings and a series of “police reforms” have neutered the cops completely. We could see 200-300 people shot in Chicago every weekend and they still will be blaming Trump.
Reluctantly agree.
Whoever Biden’s pick for VP becomes is effectively the new President if our situation doesn’t substantially improve.
The police will simply stop doing much of anything in the cities where they aren’t appreciated.
They are openly admitting it in Atlanta, the head of the police union came right out and said on the record that they are pulling back. Why would you risk your life, job and even freedom to help a bunch of ingrates?
Yes, if you unleash what you can’t put back in the bottle . . . look out. But it won’t be Kamala (or whatever VP) pulling the strings . . . .
“We could see 200-300 people shot in Chicago every weekend and they still will be blaming Trump.”
I hope they don’t run out of ammunition. Someone who saw this coming a long time ago proposed donating cheap weapons (leaving them lying about in vibrant areas to be picked up), so as to empower them to just be themselves. He called the proposed program; ” The United Negro Carnage Fund” …Because a mind is a terrible thing. I’m sure he is out there somewhere, brooding.
“…it’s the Boogaloo Bois that are the threat…”
More like the OogaBoogaloo Bois. If you want to see a compilation of a lot of selfy riot footage check out the last few episodes of “you can’t stop progress” from the youtube channel “I, Hypocrite.” Hair-raising stuff.
Even more prescient than the 4th Turning was “Civil War 2” by Thomas Chittum, available on Amazon or download if you search. I reread it during the recent riots and it was sending chills down my spine.
I’ve listened to him before, I’ll give him a listen tomorrow. I have a drive.
I’ve corresponded with Mr. Chittum, and strongly suggest buying his book, since he’s using proceeds to get farmers out of South Africa. I did a review in 2019. August?
Just saw this, it seemed appropriate somehow:
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/475333-iowa-man-sentenced-to-16-years-for-hate-crime-after-setting-pride-flag
It is an outrageous sentence given that leftists hatefully burn the American flag all the time without penalty.
So if we’re going to do that, then burning the American flag should also be classified as a hate crime against the citizens of the United States and punished accordingly.
A few relevant details (from Snopes): The Adolfo Martinez (the rainbow flag burner) had two prior felony convictions, which under Iowa law means that whatever his sentence for this crime, it would be multiplied by three. He stole the rainbow “pride” flag from a church. Burning a “flag” would have been a two-year misdemeanor arson penalty, but because it was the “pride” flag, the “hate crime” bit was set, which automatically “leveled up” the crime, to a felony. Given the time and place as described, I suspect that alcohol may have been a factor. He was defiant of the law, and we’re probably better off with him in custody.
There was no mention of his immigration status; it would be an interesting argument to put before “The Radical Left” to show that the immigrants they defend don’t share their tolerance for diversity. (Anybody got data on that? Central America being largely Catholic, are the immigrants pro-life and “traditional family” supporters?)
Now, as for the asymmetry between burning an American flag (“free speech”) and burning a rainbow flag (“hate crime”), I don’t get that. At least, if you buy your own flags to burn.
I knew about the points in your first paragraph. And whether it’s a good thing he received sixteen years because of his habitual status and his statements to police isn’t really the issue.
My point is that the “hate bit” is off by default with what the leftists do to the American Flag, and most of the time, that “hate bit” should be on. Either both have to be free speech regardless of who purchases the flag, or the “hate bit” has to be activated on both fairly.
“Fairness” has nothing to do with the Left. They are wholly immune to cries of hypocrisy.
There is no law. There is only power.
Lathechuck: Snopes is a George Soros run and paid for entity. It has zero credibility.
Please do not degrade your worthwhile and relevant comments by using Snopes as a reference…..
I try to check out items using truthorfiction.com.
I have my doubts about Snopes.com, of course! But they aggregated the links to other sources, in which I have more trust. I wasn’t citing Snopes for their “authoritative opinions” (ha!), but merely as a link to details.
I watched way too many YouTube protest videos on the 4th of July and got more depressed than I should have.
So here is one that is at least funny, somebody getting ready for CW2. This woman is kidding. Sort of.
https://www.instagram.com/p/CB7ONdJp8Lb/
There’s not gonna be much humor to wring out of this mess for very much longer, I’m afraid. Sigh.
John, don’t ever let that stop you and what you do.
Ha!
Nope, not stopping anytime soon, if I can help it.
I’ve read some speculations that the unrest here may be something like the Chinese Cultural Revolution or the French Revolution, rather than the US Civil War. I guess we need to brush up on our world history. On the other hand, I remember riots in Detroit, Washington DC, LA, Baltimore, that I believe were much more destructive than anything we’ve seen this year. I would hope that the assassination of Martin Luther King Jr. had a much greater psychological impact than George Floyd.
The craziest thing I’ve seen in the media lately is an interview in the Washington Post with (white) musician Steve Earle, who describes his own experience of police violence. Then he says “but there’s probably more Blacks killed by police than by COVID-19”. That didn’t seem quite right to me, so I dug up the numbers.
According to https://mappingpoliceviolence.org/, 598 people, 28% of whom are Black, have been killed by police so far in 2020. 28% of 598 is 168.
The total number of coronavirus deaths in the US is 132,000. According to https://www.apmresearchlab.org/covid/deaths-by-race, 26,747 of these are Black.
So… about 160 times as many Black citizens have been killed by COVID-19 as by police, in 2020 (so far). I don’t expect to get literal truth out of a musician anyway, but doesn’t a reporter for the Post, even on the Entertainment beat, have a responsibility to footnote pure nonsense?
Now, if you look at the figures for the 15-30 year old victims, you might have an argument, but I don’t have those figures, and that’s not what was printed. (Most murdered Black men are in the 15-30 age range, where very few die of COVID.)
An article with a pretty good theory as to what is the cause of the recent uptick in craziness:
https://radixjournal.com/2020/06/the-next-great-awakening/
My addition: if you think this is crazy now, just wait till they hit the antignomian phase most religions go through.
You won’t have to wait long, Biden will be inaugurated in a little over six months. Then the pogroms and vengeance start.
I interviewed Dr. Dutton last spring. Interesting man.
Spanish Civil War – there’s a great set of BBC(?) videos on it on YT.
Here’s a question that should send a chill down everyone’s spine.
Who is in control of the Nukes?
That probably makes it into next month. If the US were disintegrating… would NATO show up?
NATO couldn’t bomb Libya from Italy without US help.
I snorted when I read this. Obviously you’re right.
So what happens with the nukes?
In the case of nuclear weapons, it takes a lot more than physical possession to activate one, and a lot more than a pickup truck to carry one away. That’s one aspect of modern life that I don’t worry about. What’s more important, I think, is “how does food get into cities, when there’s no money to attract it?”
Yup. It won’t make the journey by itself!