“And I would lead what was left of the human race to ultimate victory.” – Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines
In 1970, all female solo artists were pre-Madonnas.
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The birthrate is dropping in most locations on the planet. And it’s dropping fairly quickly – quickly enough that in South Korea there will be only 40 people alive in the year 2100 for every 100 people alive today. That’s how you get collapse, and I’m sure it’s caused a lot of Seoul searching.
There is an explanation, and you’ll see fairly rapidly that that explanation cements the assurance of the ultimate victory for the True, Beautiful, and Good.
The first problem leading to our current set of troubles is cities. Cities depend on technology, but they also depend upon having a supply of people living in the cities.
Being in a large city ultimately and always brings about a tendency of a large segment of the population living in them to move to the Left. Why? Because being in a city is dependency. If I want to get rid of some excess trash, I can take it into my backyard and burn it, quite legally. This is because the minor air pollution source from burning trash isn’t very long and my neighbors don’t live all that close to me.
What do you call a broken dumpster? A trash can’t.
But if everybody in San Francisco decided they wanted to burn their garbage on the streets, the air pollution would be horrific. And where would they put all the street-poo? Burning your own trash isn’t an answer in San Francisco, so people that live there are dependent on someone to do it for them. They’re also dependent on people for lots of other things:
- Make food for them so they can eat while watching people poo in the streets,
- Make roads for them to drive on and for people to poo on,
- Provide them water to drink and to wash the poo off of their shoes,
- Provide a sewer for people who poo in the streets to ignore,
- Protect them from the people that poo in the streets, and
- Protect them from the fires that the people who poo in the streets set.
There are tons of other things that people in big cities require, things like electricity, and gas, and I could go on for a very long time. People in the cities even want the city to entertain them with museums and theaters and, I guess, poo fountains.
I took a survey of what shampoo women used in the shower. 98% said, “What the hell are you doing in my bathroom???”
Contrast that with someone living out in the country. Sure, they need food, but they often have gardens and chickens and cattle – many a local farm here produces a lot of excess food just from their gardens that they sell in the farmer’s market, plus that one dude who buys corn from Walmart® and sells it at a 50% markup.
Roads? Yup, the county grades the gravel road a few times a year but most farmers box blade their own roads with their tractors. Water comes from a well, mostly, and although there’s an electric pump in the year 2024, there’s also a creek and a pond if it came down to it. They’re on a septic system, and if that breaks, an outhouse isn’t very high tech at all.
And protection? God made men, but Sam Colt made ‘em equal and if someone tries to break into an occupied farmhouse, I certainly hope that they have their will in order.
I think The Mrs. put glue on my pistols. She denies it, but I’m sticking to my guns.
Yes, the typical farmer or rancher today is much more dependent on the outside world than one even 80 years ago, but they control so much more of their own destiny than a comparable city dweller. It’s psychologically better to live in the country, and the feeling of independence provides a feeling of power that calling 911 never will.
People in the cities (even recent immigrants, illegal or not) aren’t having kids, but people in the country are. This is not a fluke: John C. Calhoun’s (not the president, the scientist) Mouse Utopia experiments showed this: in a closed environment free of predation and with all the necessary food and space to live, mice essentially stopped breeding, got weird, and then died out.
This is what is happening in cities. Is this enough to create breakdown?
No, probably not. There’s one other missing factor: religion.
Cities are more secular. It makes sense – when I lived in a city, I noted (not positively) that every single day most workdays my feet went from carpet to tile to concrete to car to concrete to tile and back again at the end of the day. Every step I took was on an artificial surface that man had made.
I guess that Eve was the first person not to understand the Apple® terms and conditions.
People living in cities can look around and, in some places, can’t see anything other than what was conceived and made by man. Yet, when I get up here in Modern Mayberry at my house, I walk outside and I’m on grass, I look on natural slopes and trees and creeks and things not made by the hand of man all the way to work. I don’t know if the utter absence of nature in a day is enough to inspire secularism, but it’s sure nice to see the hand of Someone Bigger Than Me at work as I make my way to my much less important work.
It’s beautiful.
WhatIfAltHist is a YouTuber® that does history and philosophy stuff. In one of his recent videos he noted that his researcher had found that in every single case, when a society became urban and secular, birthrate collapsed.
A case in point in American history is that the birthrate dropped starting in 1920 as society became more urban and more secular. However, the Great Depression started a spike in birthrates that lasted until 1958 by a population that was under stress from economics and a world war and lived not in the cities, but in the suburbs, which allowed room for (more) independence and much more nature.
After secularization took hold again and the pace of urbanization increased, the birthrate dropped again and my generation, Gen X, was the result.
God was originally going to use wasps to pollinate flowers, but in the end He went with plan bee.
It seems that historically humanity has been walking this tightrope back and forth between urbanization and rural, and between religious and secular. There’s obviously a tipping point where people just give up, and those that are in the rural areas keep breeding – there’s a reason that the Amish and the Mormons are gaining as a percentage of the population: they’re rural and they’re religious and they make babies.
When Obama talked about clinging to our guns and religion, it was his biggest fear that he was vocalizing.
That’s where the seed of the new civilization to replace this one will spring from: it certainly won’t be San Francisco. And, whatever emerges from this transition won’t be like what came before it. We’ll be able to recognize it, we’ll be able to explain it, but we can’t fully predict what it will look like.
I do, however, expect that whatever this new civilization won’t be drenched in either degeneracy or tyranny, and will respect and see the True, the Beautiful, and the Good.
That was your best article EVER. Amen, brother!
Thank you! Amen!
It all started downhill with a bleeding heart. An ill-formed, emotion-laden, knee-jerk plea to “Think of the children!” that somehow morphed into tolerance of every conceivable form of depravity, while tossing the ideals of truth, beauty and goodness into the trash bin. The culture was subverted to give a voice to its outcasts from a misplaced sense of compassion, and it has since been overrun by the freaks and demons who were here all along but knew enough to remain hidden.
It’s all a Potemkin Village. Anyone with eyes can see that Michelle Obama is an ugly biological man, Rachel Levine is an even uglier biological man, and Melania Trump is the very pinnacle of feminine grace and beauty. But the “ladies” of The View and their legions of homely acolytes don’t want the true, the beautiful and the good to be ascendant, for it reminds them of their own inherent falseness, ugliness and evil.
We don’t back our way out of this mess. We press on through it, whatever comes, until truth, beauty and goodness make a triumphant return. No assumption of guilt for ancient wrongs. No special allowances for society’s misfits. A return to sanity and a social order that has proven superior to all others for the length of mankind’s existence.
Very well said, on all counts – it is a Potemkin Village, and the flimsy supports are rotting even as we speak.
Normalcy has a price when the pedo/perv’s run the show. Trouble ahead
Very close. But the trouble will lead to a very, very different place than they think it will.
The urban vs. rural was best expressed by Pat Buttram (Mr Haney) in 1970(71?), when CBS axed numerous rural shows, replacing them with “urban” fare.
He jokingly noted that CBS “cancelled every show with a tree in it.”
My sense is that the tide is turning, best expressed by Scott Adams’ comment “Get out of cities now.” As NYC, LA, SF, et al completely implode, it’s actually good for the US.
Scott’s saying to get out of the cities? Wise advice.
I’ve never been worried about population growth or decline, for a combination of reasons. If we get organized and enough of us are on the same team, we’ll win. Total pop is irrelevant, and our % of the total pop only needs to be a small %. The children of the people having more will themselves tend to have more kids for cultural and/or genetic reasons, just as Darwin would predict.
However, I disagree and dislike the implication the author has that all we have to do is wait around till Final Victory automatically happening due to demographics. This is a cope that is far too common in our thing. Cities use to kill off most of their people through disease, yet they continued to exist because people from the countryside would be drawn in for employment. This will continue in our society, especially as the Left still controls most rural education and all the media that rural kids consume.
If we get organized and enough of us are on the same team, LOL unless your over 45
Population increase isn’t required, just as economic growth isn’t required for a good people in a good society.
As a born-again Christian, I’ve sometimes wondered if God has a hand in this. It’s safe to assume that there are tough times ahead and maybe He wants to spare the most innocent.
Just a thought.
I never try to figure out His plan. He’s way better at it than I ever will be.
You are correct about most of that.
“A man with a library and a garden will lack for nothing.” – Cicero, probably.
But let’s get serious, man:
The Amish are always having more babies because there’s nothing on TV at their house, and the winter nights are long and cold.
And the reason they’re all two-parent families is because when their teenaged kids borrow the buggies, they haven’t got a back seat.
QED
Believe me, based on the number of “Sunday weddings”, the Amish kids prove that where there is a will, there is a way, as lots of Amish girls get knocked up and have to get married in a rush.
I used that Cicero quote in a conversation with my son today. Timely.
That all sounds rather Spenglerian to me. Maybe I’m fixating on only a small portion of what you said, and not understanding the whole of it, but there it is.
So far as rural vs urban goes in terms of conservative (in the senses of tradition and grounded-ness in reality, not Muh Moral Majority (remember those assholes?)) vs believing in crazy things, well, yeah. Absolutely. But whether an existence connected to the land leads to greater virtue and religiosity, and whether religiosity leads to virtue, I’m not sure. (Though I will say that the vast majority of capital-A atheists I have come across are like vegans — jerks who HAVE to work that into every interaction. There’s probably some pun about vegan atheists waiting to be made… But I digress.)
Mike, I’m still working all of it through myself. When I first read Spengler, I thought he was cool, then I thought he was deluded, and now I’m back to . . . “Well, he does have a few good points . . . . “
John, I have held for sometime now that the ruin of civilizations is cities. They absorb all the resources into them and return nothing but refuse and waste and things to buy that are not needed for survival. Most likely cannot last a five day power loss without issue as the supply so little of their own needs.
The zeitgeist of the modern era seems to be no hope, no beauty, no excellence. That is not the sort of thing that motivates a people, generation, or a civilization to think there is a future.
THB-
The only thing Marx got right was that cities would grow exponentially in the latter stages of capitalism. What he filed to discern was Schumpeter’s “creative destruction” of them.
Depends on the city. Iowa? You’re probably fine with a five day outage. Imagine Baltimore. Houston experienced one while I was there, it came out okay.
New Orleans? 24 hours in a madhouse.
Your last paragraph? Spot on.
When I took a mandatory elective (oxymoron?) in psychology in like ’73, Calhoun’s Mouse Utopia studies were a big thing. I gather there have been attempts to explain them away as meaningless. Must have been big city scientists didn’t like the idea so it had to be discredited.
Yup, they just hand-waved it away, and yet if you re-read it, it’s 100% what’s happening today.