“Here’s to failure!” – The Producers
Well, I guess that solves that problem.
The collapse of Afghanistan’s armed forces was total and complete. Taliban soldiers entered city after city with little to no resistance. As I write this, a tragic failure is unfolding in Kabul: the last McDonalds® grill in Afghanistan is now shut down.
Beware the special sauce.
That actually (really) is the problem. I was watching a movie the last night called The Outpost, which was about the battle of Kamdesh during the late Afghanistan War. In one scene, the commander of the Army unit was negotiating with the native Afghanistan villagers. “I can give you money, contracts, if you help me.”
He was talking in a mud hut with people who certainly use money. But the people that he was talking with valued many, many things more than mere money: in this case, religion and honor. In the scene, however, the Afghan men lay down their arms so they can get contracts. Who doesn’t like and want more money?
In reality, those same men had been shooting at the Americans, and would be shooting at them again the next time there was an attack. They didn’t want more money. And why not? The contracts and money, to them, were of ephemeral value. Besides, would that money even be worth anything?
Ohhhh!
The government in Afghanistan wasn’t created by the people of Afghanistan. The United States showed up, and got a coalition of people rejected from the Mad Max remake because they were too intense. It really was an accomplishment to get these people to stop killing each other for an afternoon or so.
Having done that, the State Department pretended that it was Kentucky instead of Kandahar and set up a government more suited to Alabama than to Afghanistan. The Spartans won and made Sparta. The Romans won and made Rome. The Americans conquered a continent and made the United States.
The Afghanistan government? It was written up in memos in the State Department in Washington, D.C. and was as native to Afghanistan as PEZ® or ¡Jeb! Bush. The war in Afghanistan was won by boys from Kentucky and Alabama, so why not use those rules?
Well, one simple reason. They don’t work in Afghanistan.
Finally, a place where ¡Jeb! can win.
In the end, the victory of the Taliban this weekend was because they were fighting a religious war. And not only was it a religious war, it was a religious war fought by a culture that prized the warrior ethic. The Afghanis have been fighting off and on against each other and anyone else for hundreds, if not thousands, of years. There’s never been a lot of thought about building an Industrial Park or at Tech Incubator Campus. Nope. It’s blood, rocks, and brutal weather.
Those kinds of people are scary. To them, extreme violence is a religious sacrament. Death in combat? That’s a formula for sweet martyrdom and a promise of eternal bliss.
Hmmm, reminds me of the Vikings?
What was the leadership of the opponent of this death cult of warriors?
Well, this is an entirely different type of cult.
The weak and secular government composed of warlords that had been trying to kill each other before 2001. The Kabul coalition government was like putting a dozen feral cats in a burlap sack, shaking it real hard, and pretending it was a functioning government. I don’t know if they had incentives like a 401k, but I’m sure they had appropriate state-run defined benefit pension plans that will pay off when they retire in 2057.
Ooops.
Incentives matter.
I was discussing the Fall of Kabul with The Mrs. Her response was short and was exactly what I would have expected. “What did we think that we were doing over there, anyway? We should have gone in, knocked out Al Qaeda, and left.”
The Mrs. is, of course, correct. Von Clausewitz observed this 200 some-odd years ago when he was writing his book On War that winning a war consisted of two parts. The first part was getting the other guy’s troops to stop fighting. Von Clausewitz classified that as, and I quote, “es ist easy-peasy.” Beating the troops of the enemy was really the easy part. To win a war, however, you had to remove the will of the whole people to fight.
Biden monitors the evacuation in the War Room.
After World War II, the war was over not because the military bits were done fighting. It’s that pretty much everybody was tired of fighting, most especially the Germans and especially the Japanese, who discovered to their dismay that they weren’t radiation proof.
It is true that one French general had said, “I have not yet begun to fight, and I probably won’t start, that sounds messy.” Please don’t mention the Italians, because then I’d need a scorecard. Their hearts weren’t in it from the beginning.
The Mrs. followed up with, “Why on Earth have we been there for 20 years?”
McDonalds™.
Well, this obviously means war.
Well, not exactly McDonalds®, but the same thinking that McDonalds© represents: the worship of markets and material things. As a nation we were convinced that if we give people around the world a McDonalds™ and professional sports and air conditioning they’ll be just like us and want to make PowerPoints© for a living and live in overpriced housing in crowded cities.
But they’re not like us. That’s our mistake in thinking that everyone wants Netflix® and chill. Nope.
The intelligence failure at the heart of this will haunt Joe Biden for the rest of his life. Last month, Sleepy Joe said, “Under no circumstances are you going to see people taken by helicopter from the roof of the United States Embassy in Afghanistan.”
Well, I guess that will leave a mark.
Yesterday he followed up with the most cowardly thing ever said by a politician that I can recall, he denied he had any responsibility for the largest American miscalculation since Custer said, “Aw hell, how many Indians could there be?”
Nope. Biden said he is completely and utterly not responsible for anything related to Collapsistan.
If this were Highlights® Magazine, I’d ask you to spot the differences. (Hint: they’re the same picture.)
There are some things he could pass the buck on, but this is not one of them. Does Pretender in Chief Biden bear full responsibility for what is happening right now? Yes. It’s a military matter that he’s been aware of for years. He had choices. He could have evacuated American civilians months ago. He could have put our embassy into a minimal staff situation and sent all of the LGBT flags and Black Lives Matter® posters home weeks ago.
Bringing the things that the Afghani people really wanted.
He didn’t. To the extent there is responsibility for keeping Americans in danger, it is his, and his alone.
But this is a pattern, not a single point. Oddly a quick Internet search also found this, when I typed in “Biden Denies Responsibility”:
- Biden Denies Dems’ Responsibility For Crime Wave
- Biden Denies Responsibility For Border Surge (illegal aliens, not a Taco Bell® run for the border)
- Biden Denies He Has A Hooker And Crack Loving Son Named Hunter
Looks like we’re back to Hidin’ with Biden!
It’s like Joe Biden isn’t involved in his life at all, and certainly isn’t interested in the consequences of his decisions and actions. Or, if I might be more charitable, his dementia-fogged mind might have him reliving being 18, so he hasn’t done all of those awful things yet. I hear he asks Kamala for the keys to the Studebaker© so he can run down to Pop’s Malt Shoppe and hang out with Archie and the gang.
Kamala already took credit that she and Joe were running the show..
Thankfully, the Pretender in Chief had his priority straight: the Marines had been called on to cook at the McDonalds© (see, it’s all about McDonalds™) at the airport in Kabul. The Marines have also been called upon to do that less important task of guarding the airport as chaotic mobs of people desperately try to get on any plane that’s leaving.
I wonder if anyone will try to make political points with this?
Just like the battle for Kamdesh ended up with American soldiers (and two Latvians) on helicopters leaving while the base was bombed by B-1 bombers to destroy the ammo left behind, the war in Afghanistan ends with Americans on planes leaving while the government collapses.
Unless Washington somehow uses this failure to justify going back in (which I don’t think is possible) this is the very end of the Afghan War. What is left now is the beginning of the aftermath.
But no more bacon cheeseburgers for you in the Helmand Province.
(It’s a Star Trek joke.)