“Don’t they know you’re in the danger zone?” – Archer
I got kicked out of the bar for attempting to karaoke “Danger Zone” three times in a row. Too many Loggins attempts.
- Those who have an opposing ideology are considered evil.
- People actively avoid being near those of opposing ideology. Might move from communities or states just because of ideology.
- Common violence. Organized violence is occurring monthly.
- Common violence that is generally deemed by governmental authorities as justified based on ideology.
- Opposing sides develop governing/war structures. Just in case.
- Open War.
Volume VII, Issue 11
Most memes except for the clock and graphs are “as found”. I have maintained the Clock O’Doom at 9., given the open support of assassination and criminality by the GloboLeft and the increase in violence as well as direct interference with ICE and the insertion of the military into law enforcement. Beware: the number can climb quickly.
My advice remains. Avoid crowds. Get out of cities. Now. A year too soon is better than one day too late.
In this issue: Front Matter – Danger Zone – Violence and Censorship Update – Misery Index – Updated Civil War 2.0 Index – Links
Front Matter
Welcome to the latest issue of the Civil War II Weather Report. These posts are different than the other posts at Wilder Wealthy and Wise and consist of smaller segments covering multiple topics around the single focus of Civil War 2.0, on the first or second Monday of every month. I’ve created a page (link below) for links to all of the past issues. Also, subscribe because you’ll join nearly 840 other people and get every single Wilder post delivered to your inbox, M-W-F at or before 7:30AM Eastern, free of charge.
Danger Zone
Trump was elected based on the desire of the electorate for change.
The immiseration of the people of the United States had been a constant for decades through both Republican and Democrat. One example of this immiseration was through pumping the wealth out of workers through things like bringing in unending hordes of illegal aliens as the GloboLeft galloped left at full speed.
The GloboLeftElite loved this because it diluted the Founding Stock of the United States. The Chamber of Commerce Right loved it because they could get cheaper wages from people who couldn’t really complain about being treated unfairly because they were here illegally. H-1Bs, who Trump criticized during his 2016 campaign, were just a legal version of illegal strawberry pickers from Venezuela, making wages go down for white collar workers as well.
Trump was elected not only because of that single issue, but it was a very big issue to his supporters. Controlling illegals had upwards of 80% approval in the 1980s and 1990s, but yet neither side really wanted to stop it because both profited.
In general, by the time Trump showed up, people were very tired of their government working mainly for those with access and cash rather than, you know, the voters. In this, Trump’s appeal was as a populist, nationalist, and traditionalist.
Well, we can play pretend about the traditional bit, but he certainly sold it.
So where does that put us?
We’ve already seen the early tremors of increased unrest in March: those four terrorism-linked incidents and the “No Kings” protests that pulled in eight million GloboLeftists. They were only slightly fiery and were mostly peaceful, I guess. But the Trump Derangement Syndrome was thick enough to cut with a knife.
I’ve said it before, but my call as the window of peak danger of civil unrest, maybe heading to something spicier is still late June through mid-August
First, the destabilizing bits: Economic pain from the Iran/Israel military action is the big one. Fuel prices are climbing, diesel surcharges are right now hitting shipping and farming. Fertilizer costs will soon be pushing pushing grocery inflation toward 3%
Or 6%.
Or worse.
That’s not abstract. It’s a hidden tax that hits those with lower incomes first and hardest, and makes everyone irritable. Add in the war’s unpopularity with polls hovering around 54-60% of Americans against it. There has been no national proposition given, and certainly no big “rally around the flag” moment.
The GloboLeft mobilizes like they did with No Kings™ and they just want to make things burn.
March already brought terror incidents noted below in the Violence and Censorship Update. A few more sparks with no arrests and no controls?
The result is backlash cycles, copycats, and overreactions that make GloboLeftist cities feel like powder kegs. I’m rating it high on the economic front, medium-high on the polarization and protest momentum, medium on the terrorism angle.
All of it adds up an area more prone to wildfire than the land underneath an electrical pole in California.
Certainly, there’s another side. Trump’s weakened position and the very real shot at Democratic midterm gains will weigh huge in the minds of the GloboLeftist: they don’t need to burn down Portland (again) they just need to wait.
History shows midterms punish the president’s party when approval sits in the 39-40% range, and right now the numbers point to the GloboLeft taking the House and maybe challenging the Senate. That gives the opposition a concrete, non-violent outlet: organize, fundraise, vote, investigate, block funding, block nominees to federal courts, including the Supreme Court (Clarence, might be time to retire, bro).
Anger may get channeled into ballots instead of barricades and barista rage. We saw the same pattern after big protest waves before on the GloboLeft: energy shifts from streets to strategy sessions.
The biggest golden opportunity is if some miracle happens in Iran and things go back to normal, quickly. The TradRight’s base remains pretty cohesive, and if it winds down Maduro-fast, economic relief may (and I stress may) follow.
The other major factor is that Americans have a habit of bending instead of breaking when elections loom. Post-2020 lessons mean better law enforcement prep and more public fatigue with endless disorder.
Net result? The system may (again, may) direct the pressure into polarized politics rather than national breakdown.
A perfect storm would look like prolonged war, major terror attack, economic crash with no relief and the sort of political agitation that took George Floyd from dead junkie to St. George. Don’t think that wasn’t engineered to make Trump look bad.
My timing of greatest risk in 2026? Late June to mid-August.
Heat and aggression go together like cheap beer, dark bars, and bad decisions. Decades of studies show violence and collective unrest spike with temperature. Violence pops roughly 9% higher for every 20°F jump, up to about 85°F. Over that, the “It’s too hot to do anything” starts to kick in. But historically, the United States has had to deal with violence peaking during hot summers.
Look at the “long hot summers” of the 1960s, the 1919 Red Summer peaks, Watts in 1965, or how George Floyd protests exploded and dragged through June-August 2020. People are outside more, school’s out, protests feel easier.
Add the perceptual distance from the November midterms. If you can’t save enough to pay the rent, an election 3 to 4.5 months away feels like nothing’s happening fast enough.
Summer heat just turns the volume up on whatever tinder already exists.
Pulling the whole thread together: March gave us the preview of early terror incidents plus those historic-scale protests that acted as both pressure valve and polarization amplifier. The hypothetical Iran mess layers on economic stress and extremism risks that could intensify by summer.
Late June to mid-August lines up as my bet for peak trouble because of the heat, the calendar gap, and the precedent.
The midterm outlet remains the strongest stabilizer. The Left gets a path to power without needing indefinite street theater and endless pictures of fugly women with unshaved pits.
Keep an eye on June.
(No second story this month, this one got long enough)
Violence and Censorship Update
Violence is back on the menu, boys:
On March 1, Ndiaga Diagne was upset about Iran, and is alleged to have killed 3 and injured 15 after opening fire in a bar in Austin, Texas.
March 7 brought us a moslem throwing a homemade bomb while at a rally of people who were protesting to keep moslems in the United States.
Mohamed Bailor Jalloh went postal at Old Dominion University, but was killed after murdering one on March 12.
On March 28 the “No Kings” protest against Trump saw 3000 plus groups of GloboLeftists claiming a total of eight million protestors, with hundreds of arrests nationally of GloboLeftists initiating violence.
Censorship?
Europe is still king, with more arrests for memes or any opinion on immigration or moslem violence that didn’t regard moslem violence as deserving of praise, so, no change.
Misery Index
The new Trump administration is shown in red. Results continue to be much better than Biden’s misery numbers, though this is Trump’s worst month of his second term.
Behold, the Miserito!
Updated Civil War II Index
The Civil War II graphs are an attempt to measure four factors that might make Civil War II more likely, in real time. They are broken up into Violence, Political Instability, Economic Outlook, and Illegal Alien Crossings. As each of these is difficult to measure, I’ve created for three of the four metrics some leading indicators that combine to become the index. On illegal aliens, I’m just using government figures.
Violence:
Violence indicators have maintained a high level this month. This is one of the top five months of the last 84 (the CW Weather Report started in June, 2019).
Political Instability:
Down is more stable, and it went up this month. I anticipate it going up again in April, especially since half of the population hates Americans and 40% of the other half don’t want a war with Iran.
Economic:
The economy took a drop this month, and the war in the Gulf will place exponential pressure on economies worldwide.
Illegal Aliens:
Still the near lowest level since the Weather Report started.
Still think this isn’t intentional?
LINKS
The links are again done by Ricky this month. Thanks, Ricky!
BAD GUYS
https://truthsocial.com/@CitizenFreePress/posts/116229877704839706
https://x.com/KaitMarieox/status/2033675929893937643
GOOD GUYS
https://x.com/i/status/2031806808273158565
https://www.wral.com/news/ap/e49b6-gunman-who-shot-2-people-at-old-dominion-university-in-virginia-is-dead-college-says/
BODY COUNT
https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2026/03/17/17_veterans_kill_themselves_a_day_waiting_17_days_for_help_1170858.html
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/article-15681689/five-states-americans-flocking-leaving-droves.html
VOTE COUNT
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/monfbi-secretly-seizes-election-records-arizonas-largest-county-voting
https://x.com/realmuckraker/status/2034705353133498674
https://x.com/JamesOKeefeIII/status/2036527947255788007
CIVIL WAR (OURS)
https://yougov.com/en-us/articles/54090-how-many-americans-want-their-state-to-secede
https://www.wired.com/story/dont-listen-anyone-who-thinks-secession-will-solve-anything/
https://www.texasmonthly.com/culture/revolutionary-kind/
https://www.lubbockonline.com/story/news/state/2026/03/31/what-to-know-about-newmexit-texas-lawmakers-plan-at-annexing-new-mexico-counties-wanting-to-secede/89368928007/
https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-lede/the-return-of-staten-islands-secession-movement
https://coloradonewsline.com/2026/01/26/colorado-rethink-place-in-country/
https://www.desertsun.com/story/news/nation/california/2026/02/06/calexit-what-californias-secession-movement-means/88548491007/
https://thehilltoponline.com/2026/03/02/civil-war-parallels-resurface-as-political-divisions-deepen/
https://www.peoplefor.org/rightwingwatch/something-civil-war-eric-metaxas-and-james-kunstler-suggest-trump-needs-outlaw
https://zeptabot.substack.com/p/the-techno-libertarian-manifesto
CIVIL WAR (THEIRS)
https://bearingarms.com/camedwards/2026/03/31/canadas-buyback-deadline-is-here-and-most-banned-guns-havent-been-handed-over-n1232060
https://www.newstribune.com/news/2026/apr/02/in-oil-rich-canadian-province-long-shot-secession-bid-gains-traction/
https://modernity.news/2026/03/28/watch-eu-parliament-told-continent-is-on-track-for-civil-war/
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2g4v9mzxro
https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/3/27/who-is-fighting-in-myanmars-multi-front-civil-war
https://religionnews.com/2026/03/26/growing-up-during-sri-lankas-civil-war-taught-me-that-getting-along-with-people-across-divides-is-a-virtue-we-can-learn/
read this: https://x.com/MichaelARothman/status/2041722116316524603?s=20
We’ll see . . . it’s not looking that good from the outside.
“The Strait of Hormuz carries 𝟒𝟓% 𝐨𝐟 𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚’𝐬 𝐨𝐢𝐥 𝐬𝐮𝐩𝐩𝐥𝐲.”
Wrong, it’s less than 13%.
Get off the zionist propaganda.
Disaster Capitalism is so disastrous. The replacements will be the Hessians in CW II?
A wretched hive of 535 traitorous whores is why we can’t have nice things.
Yup.
The irrational hate that is present in the country will have an outlet. The sad thing is we will end up as a police state on one of two paradigm. Trump and Thune have done one thing good they have brought all of this to a head. IMHO there will be war here and ugly. And then the “aliens” show up.
My hate isn’t irrational 😉
“one of two paradigm”
Classic Bezmenov. Many forget that the plan calls for both sides to be controlled, so whoever wins gets to impose harsh rules that their side cheers for because they assume it will only be applied to the other guys. Which will be true, for a time.
There is a peak polarization, but we’re not there yet.
John – – I think you hit on the one most important indicator of economic misery: price of food. History shows zero popular revolutions when the citizenry is reasonably well fed (not talking about quality of their food – only quantity).
You are correct to focus on that in determining when the “festivities” might kick off. As is always true: greater supply means lower prices. And yet an important caveat arises, namely that food may be in abundance but not available. We can see that in a chokehold/bottleneck which prevents arrival of food. So price of fuels, IMHO mainly diesel, affects directly what is delivered to groceries and thus affects the sales prices.
But in Michael Snyder’s recent blog (https://michaeltsnyder.substack.com/p/a-shortage-of-nearly-everything-is?) he points out the scarcity of plastics when we have scarcity of petroleum. Plastics are petroleum ! And a significant part of food expense is in the plastic packaging.
We don’t think of food being limited because plastics are not available, and yet, perhaps we should. I doubt if a nation would ever limit vehicular fuels in favor of keeping plastic manufacturers primed full of petroleum’ plastic precursors. So fuel for deliveries will be rationed, prioritized, ahead of fuel to be converted into plastics (outside of military type uses/needs). The reality is that if you cannot process foods by packaging them for delivery, how can they be transported ?
Just a point to contemplate, see if you could use availability of plastics as a judge of food availability. Not sure how a metric could be devised as a predictor of furthering economic misery, but you are a smart guy and could probably find a way.
173d-
Having survived the ’79 OPEC Crisis as GM of an Esso Jobber, the first sign of a supply problem is that contracted allocations are cut, usually 20-25%. If Jobber X gets 1MM gals/mo, that gets cut to 750-800K. Plus, most everyone will fill up at 1/2 instead of 1/4 full.
Gas lines will occur. Buying 3-4 5 gal. gas cans will be a necessity. We’re moving into town next month. That’ll eliminate a 24 mile round-trip daily commute.
Folks, this time we are WAY WAY WAY beyond the “aw, shucks, lookit, gasoline lines and higher food prices” we’ve seen in the past. Yeah, this is a long article. You should read it anyway. We may not be in Mad Max’s world just yet, but there it is right on the not too distant horizon….
https://substack.com/home/post/p-192518871
Great article.
Yes, but not really? Most polyethylene comes from natural gas, not crude. They can only put so much ethylene in natural gas or it carries too much heat and can’t safely be used in appliances designed for natural gas. (details).
Wouldn’t worry about packaging.
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjvG-N4W6RTI-C7KXMh6dTqnpnlwPKX8xo6-8m1vPU0pA5Waru4Bkv78k7pOzlSULgE7Cf9loSXbaz0RHxaxYGo5m0c98QuGWwxMouRYrRc8xqn7WiKMl9aX1pLErBWPQlH6ULTFMiwVdDv9QWc7suliq9vX8NWo-eYbUz9tV5gSDzeWJuDGGJTqNRXVfg
Yup.
In recent weeks, the term “Trump Derangement Syndrome” has taken on a rather different meaning, in terms of what Our Glorious Spray-Tanned Leader has said and done, in his official capacity as Bibi’s Butt Boy. He’s doing a remarkably fine imitation of a man who’s full-up, foaming-at-the-mouth, baying-at-the-moon, out-in-the-fields-eating-grass-with-Nebuchadnezzar, “deranged.” Those whom the gods would destroy …
Leftists can be deranged in their hate for Trump, and Trump can also be deranged. Both can be true 😉
Personally I don’t think Trump is calling the shots. Presidents seem to be the executors of foreign policy imposed on them from outside, and not necessarily Israel. The US will be least affected by the chaos we caused, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the US (at least its elites) will end up greatly benefiting from a situation similar to the end of WW2 when we accounted for ~50% of the world’s production.
Trump 1.0 had a useful Tiger face/Panda face tool before it was neutered by his Jan 6 response and the subsequent show trials.
The success of the drug boat-bombings, Maduro snatch, and the reckless alliance with a desperate and ruthless Israel?
Occam’s razor: Never underestimate the lengths a showman with no qualms and his finger on the pulse of the lowest common denominator. Remember when Clinton’s behavior and language was a bridge too far and Boomers on down collectively shrugged? That was 30 years ago.
Or the degree to which bots, psyops, and lefties will go to paralyze the opposition. Parasitic mind-wasps.
Yeah, his tweet today was really weird.
“The biggest golden opportunity is if some miracle happens in Iran and things go back to normal, quickly.”
I read a fascinating, in-depth article recently that makes the case that this is impossible to happen. Very doom n’ gloom, but it’s from the perspective of an investment and engineering guy, not a “living in spider holes since the ’70s” kind of guy.
https://substack.com/home/post/p-192518871?selection=655292ba-70da-4bcf-aece-24636a23bdb3#:~:text=The%20queue%20is%20zero-sum
Yes, Trump & Yetananowhooo(sp) screwed the pooch intentionally. All for their personal enrichment. I can’t even mention J*W involvement or get threatened. And this is in a hard red SC small, 15K pop. town with a huge Marine presence.
Yeah, I don’t see that happening either.
The titular “we” is doing a lot of hidden heavy lifting throughout, don’t you think? Just who is that “we”, kemo sabe? Who is this Lone Ranger expecting to persuade with this piece? It is so similar to things I read in the early-90s back when all of library-land was being sold on multi-culturalism.
On the other hand, it’s evidence that the soi-disant AWFL suicidal sympathy is not a function of Whiteness, or Europeaness*, and so-on which is all the rage. The Whiteness thing is a tar baby. But European is a pagan stsnd in for Christendom, the which makes me wonder if there’s a shot of truth amidst Narrative chaff.
Because then what is it, then, a function of? Something to think about, no?
Possibly as a Christian heresy? On the other hand, since that’s doable for Islam, Tikun olam, and Marxism, etc., etc., etc., doesn’t seem a useful distinction?