Civil War 2.0 Weather Report, Special Wednesday Edition: Are We There Yet, Part III

“Yes, I shall certainly choose revolutionary France for my holiday again next year.” – Blackadder the Third

There are two types of people:  those that can extrapolate from incomplete data.

Generally, I plan my posts in advance, sometimes weeks ahead of time.  I try to research the topics, and, quite often I’m surprised by the thing that I thought that were true that simply weren’t true.  Things that are “common knowledge” are often incorrect.  Who knew that telling an upset woman to “calm down” would have the opposite effect . . . every single time I’ve ever tried it?

That being said, the comments from the last Civil War 2.0 Weather Report pulled me off of my schedule.  As usual, the commenters at this site are generally at least one to two standard deviations of intelligence above the norm.  It’s a smart room, and a tough one.  When I make an error, even a grammatical error, I get called on it.  I hate to think that I make one grammatical error and then my post is urined.

Oddly, I really appreciate when people point out those errors.  Even though  I will eventually die.  My chances for a legacy on this planet are:

  • my children,
  • the things that I have done (think, work),
  • my PEZ® dispenser collection,
  • the lives that I have touched,
  • and the ideas I was able to share or spread.

Truth, with a capital T, is more important to than me “being right”.

By my reckoning, I’ve popped down in excess of 65,000 words on the conflict in American that is coming to be called Civil War 2.0 over the span of years.  I keep writing about it because it has hit a nerve:  these are some of the most viewed posts that I have written.  People are interested because, like me, they feel something big coming.

Does a nurse need to carry a red pen in case they want to draw blood?

The comments on the November edition of the Civil War 2.0 Weather Report, though, are special.  There is a great division in what we even consider the ongoing conflict.  Is it even a war?  Will it ever be a war?

When I think about this I look to analogies from the past.  When Germany decided to take a fall vacation in Poland, Great Britain and France declared war on them.  And then, after Poland was gobbled up by the Germans and the Soviets in September 1939?

Nothing, or, mostly nothing.

For about eight months, the largest armies in Europe did (mostly) zilch.  Newspapers have to have something to write about, so they wrote about the war that just wasn’t happening.  This no-war version of war was called names like Sitzkreig, and the British started calling it the Bore War.  The name “Phoney War” finally stuck.

Well, at least the French won that war.

Then?  On May 10, 1940 the Germans attacked realized that the French were sitting on a lot of stuff that they wanted (mainly, France).  By the middle of June, Germans were having wine in Parisian cafés.  By the end of June, the jokes about French military, um, “prowess” started.

I bring this up because I wonder if we’re in a lull like that right now.

In an attempt to catalog the progress to a war, I tried to use existing international standards to codify the steps towards war.  On my ten-point scale, last six points were:

  1. Those who have an opposing ideology are considered evil.
  2. People actively avoid being near those of opposing ideology.  Might move from communities or states just because of ideology.
  3. Common violence. Organized violence is occurring monthly.
  4. Opposing sides develop governing/war structures. Just in case.
  5. Common violence that is generally deemed by governmental authorities as justified based on ideology.
  6. Open War.

Point 5. is beyond dispute.  Point 6. is ongoing, right now.  I have had dozens of people in real life and on the site talking about moving away simply because they did not want to be in Leftist-controlled state.

I’d tell more jokes about the Civil War, but I keep getting Stonewalled.

Point 7. was very common.  Violence has, to a certain extent, dropped backwards due to rioting becoming “so 2020”, although societal violence levels are still increasing.

But Aesop had this gem in his comment:

“And those 1000 casualties? In a 12-month period? That rolling criteria is rolling backwards, not forward. We’re currently back at maybe 6½, not 10.

In the way I thought about my model, these were ratchets – point 6. supported point 7., and so on.

But Aesop is right.  Violence (especially of the riot-y kind) has decreased.  At least for now.  I’ll state that point 8. has happened and can’t be undone.  The structures are far better organized on the Left – Charles Péguy said it well:  “Tyranny is always better organized than freedom.”  But when faced with real, proximate threats the Right has shown that it can organize thousands in a week.

Point 9.?  I would say that this level of terror continues in American cities, right now.  Leftist violence (though not always pointed against the Right) continues and isn’t punished.  Leftists can commit a huge variety of crimes and be walking the streets in the new “no bond” world the next morning.

Non-violent people who walked unopposed into the Capitol building on January 6, 2021 are being held in conditions that approximate a Soviet GULAG.  Don’t take my word for it, you can read a letter from an inmate here (LINK).  So, is number 9. happening?  It clearly is.

Aesop continues:

But the most obvious reason it’s not midnight, nor anywhere close, is because you’re even asking the question.

No one had to tell the ship’s band on the Titanic that the sh*tfestivus had begun. They knew the minute they sat down to play that the performance would end with their shoes getting cold and wet, before they even sat down.

I don’t think we’re taking on water, and I don’t even think we’ve even hit the iceberg yet. I do think we’re barreling towards it blind in the night, at flank speed, in a fog.

But that’s a far cry from taking on water, and doomed to sink.
Yet.

Those are good points.  It’s sort of like the definition of drowning.  If have the breath to ask, you’re not drowning.  At least I told my kids that when I taught them how to swim.  You can’t have a Civil War if nobody comes.

And yet . . . we’ve been in a cultural war since long before most people ever realized we were.  And one thing we’re good at (as humans) is normalizing life.  We get complacent, and behavior that would have led to social ostracism becomes almost acceptable in a few years.  We can get used to that level of violence, too.  If you look at the Google® trend for the term “riot” it spikes with the first Floyd riot, but goes back to the same level of interest after only a few weeks, despite riots being prevalent all summer long.

We get used to things, even bad things, very quickly.

One or two people might get this one, but they’ll really enjoy it.

Various other comments –

McChuck:  “The cultural, political, economic, legal, and demographic war has been waged against US for generations, and we are losing badly. If we don’t fight now (or very soon), we lose by default.

When only one side shows up for a war, it’s called genocide. That’s where we are now, even if it’s being done slowly.”

The Docent:  “We have a fight between factions for control of the government. So I would suggest that the issue is whether it rises to more than “civil disturbance.” This is where the minimum yearly body count of 1,000 (with at least 100 per side) comes into play. If we are only looking at the BLM/Antifa riots, we are at a civil disturbance level. If we consider COVID jabs for the kill count, we get over the 1,000 minimum, but because it is unilateral it is a genocide rather than a civil war.”

jojo:  “Yup. Wilder – throw away your charts. Look at what’s going on. It’s on already. And has been for more than a little while. Add in political prisoners locked up in D.C. for trespassing with no bail – you got a chart for that?”

It’s clear that there is some feeling that we’re not seeing any sort of war – just flat-out genocide.  And that’s the reason for the charts.  People who are invested in the system, who feel that they have something to lose are generally willing to put their heads down and keep quiet.  I will keep the graphs going.  I’m plotting something.

Well, that’s one way to properly fill out a ballot in Georgia.

So, are we there yet?  Ask some folks, it’s clearly a yes.  Ask others, it’s clearly a no.  It’s also, clearly, likely to be the biggest event that we’ll see in our lifetimes.

And in places like Modern Mayberry, I imagine that there is a good possibility that we may never see any direct violence related to this, except on YouTube® reports.

But, I can see spending time to review the markers – these are two and a half years old now.  I might even stay with them, but recalibrate them with some objective markers.  We’ll see – I’ll give it some thought.

It is clear.  We will never be able to return to the nation that was, and what we will become will be born from the next few years.

Who will we become?  We all have a stake in that.

Author: John

Nobel-Prize Winning, MacArthur Genius Grant Near Recipient writing to you regularly about Fitness, Wealth, and Wisdom - How to be happy and how to be healthy. Oh, and rich.

79 thoughts on “Civil War 2.0 Weather Report, Special Wednesday Edition: Are We There Yet, Part III”

  1. Is it possible that the very idea of a nation is – dare I say it – over?
    What, in today’s terms, does an Elite have to do to control a country?
    – Control the harbors and access points
    – Control the treasury/currency
    – Control the economy, to the extent that all unauthorized commerce is illegal
    – Control the farms, with special emphasis on controlling the sale and transport of food crops
    – Have the ability to imprison their enemies without trial or recourse, or at least make them disappear from public view
    – Control the education of their children
    – Control the media/cultural expression/official news
    – Control the military
    – Control the police/judicial structures
    Any Elite that does that is considered to have the country pacified. We passed ALL those points in the early part of the 20th century.
    What remained was a thin veneer of freedom.
    What we have done is to challenge the control of the Elite.
    The Internet was the first step in the Destruction of the Elites’ Stranglehold. From that point on, average people – the Normals – have found ways around the roadblocks to managing their own lives, without Elite Interference. What is happening now is Elite Realization that THEY are the Czars, in the last days of the Empire.
    It’s going to be painful, with inflation, currency devaluation, and chaotic upheaval to the American and world economies. The elderly will be most affected, as their retirement dwindles with inflation, while the “value” of their housing skyrockets. The towns and cities will try to manage by raising taxes (even passively, by tying tax assessment to inflated values, can be catastrophic).
    Do you REALLY think that people have been hunkering down in their homes, waiting for that government check? Fool. They are doing Side Hustles, out of reach of government grasp. Trust me – most people will be fine, although there will be hiccups.
    I don’t think of this as Societal Collapse – I think of it as Restoration of the Peoples’ Norms.
    The big thing to watch out for is a grab by tyrant/oligarch.

    1. The most important step in creating this evil Government was the selling of compulsory Public “education” to the masses, followed by the mass infiltration of Marxists and feminists into the education bureaucracy..Followed by abominations like Common Core…So the increasing popularity of home schooling is the one area where people are fighting back..(I expect Biden to declare it illegal if he lives long enough.) And I think the same approach in other areas will prove fruitful..But the problem is that we have allowed mass immigration by people who don’t share our values…If that is not addressed soon, the situation will become near hopeless…

    2. @ Linda S. Fox

      Re:”Is it possible that the very idea of a nation is – dare I say it – over?”

      A number of historians and political scientists, most prominently amongst them Israeli Dr. Martin Van Creveld and his U.S.-born acolyte, William Lind, have studied, written and spoken about the rise and decline of the nation-state as an entity since the Peace of Westphalia in 1648, which is the generally-acknowledged beginning of nation-states as we know them today.

      Paradoxically, here in the U.S., the state has never before been stronger – but at the same time, never has been weaker and more-dysfunctional. One might say that as those who hold the reigns of power feel them slipping, they grab hold of them all-the-tighter but to no avail.

      Many of the reasons the state is declining have to do with technological and other forms of advancement. The networked world has caused many – including even a few politicians here and there, to question the continued relevancy of the nation-state as the organizing principle of human governance. Consolidation and the mergers since the 1980s have created multi-nationals which are as-wealthy and powerful as small nations in their own rights. And others have simply grown large out of their ubiquity and success, such as the social media giants.

      Supra-national organizations like the UN, IMF, World Bank, and many others have also weakened the sovereignty of individual nation states, as have political unions like the European Union, which is frankly globalist in its orientation. Many of the richest and most-powerful people on earth favor global government, which by definition means the obsolescence and disappearance of the nation-state.

      Lind in particular has written about what happens when the people discover that their governments and nations no longer serve their interests, or no longer serve them well-enough: They transfer those loyalties to other entities, including such things as religious groups, tribes, cartels, break-away factions, dissident movements, companies, NGOs and others. Even the common garden-variety street gang supplies a sense of group identity and belonging missing in the lives of many of their members. The very success of gangs in attracting new members is a social indicator of the failure of the nation-state, and of modern society itself, to provide a place for all of its members.

      Yes, certain people are drawn to criminality regardless of other conditions, but some are drawn to it because they have nothing else to which to aspire. What does it say about your society when the “role model” of an inner-city black kid is the cocaine pusher down the block who doesn’t have a conventional job, but is flush with cash, wears gold, and drives an expensive car?

      Lind and Van Creveld have both talked a lot about legitimacy and its status as “the coin of the realm.” As nation-states and their governments become more-and-more visibly dysfunctional and obviously unable or unwilling to cope with the modern world of the 21st century, they will lose legitimacy – ultimately to such an extent that they must fall or dissolve in some manner.

      This is the signal challenge of the new century for these entities, regardless of where they are. Can the governments and leaders of nation-states do a good-enough job to earn and keep legitimacy in the eyes of the people? It is too early to supply any other than preliminary observations, but right now, some nations are holding the lines, and others are “auto-delegtimizing” like crazy. These”failed states” are hemorrhaging legitimacy and with it, their chances of a bright future.

      1. They are moving from legitimacy as the coin of the realm to fear. This is normal throughout history, and in most of the world today. I see no signs of governments weakening, in any way other than the support of the people. This is largely driven from their view that the people have no real power (especially if they get rid of that pesky 2A), so why bother giving them a seat at the table? “Government” is generally defined as the entity with a monopoly on violence, and when only government has the ability to do violence it owes nothing to no one.

  2. It isn’t a linear, steady progression on a line chart going smoothly upward. There are a number of flashpoints, from the Arbery trial to the Rittenhouse trial, that could spark something bad. The conditions needed for a conflict keep adding up and none of them ever go backward. Their goals haven’t changed, but Biden has proven to be so inept and demented that it seems to be delaying their plans.

    1. Word. But the flashpoints will be in the Blue Hives. And, the reaction from “The Thin Blue Line” or, should I say the non-reaction, will push more and more fence-sitters, normies, sheeple, and cucks into the cold light of day. I’m looking forward to watching Seattle, SFO, NYC, etc. burn to the ground. Bleib ubrig.

  3. Keep up the agitprop, John. It’s effective and necessary.

    Make people think. Provide logic and reality to the masses. They won’t read it or care, but we patriots can use it a little bit each day to sway those around us. Circles grow, one mind at a time, one meme at a time.

    When asked what he considered his greatest invention, Benjamin Franklin replied, “Americans”.

    1. Thank you. It helps me type – and with a smile on my face. And you caught my goal – I want to be a gateway . . . to the Truth.

      Let’s hope we can keep those Americans.

  4. Yes the left is very good at what they do when uninhibited. We will be played until the mass job loss creates nothing left to lose.

    When does that happen? I do not know, my feeling is when TPTB crash the market after extracting a lot of wealth the jobs will vanish. The dollar will vanish. A lot of humanity will vanish following that.

    This will be a global problem with all the debt and unfunded liabilities. Maybe the old religious debt forgiveness will work can’t remember the word for it, old/forgetful. Maybe God will end all the evil in the world as is promised.

  5. The obvious corollary to Santayana’s Maxim, popular of late, is that those who DO know history are doomed to watch those that don’t repeat it. So here we are.
    There have been many Titanics before us, and they have ALL hit an iceberg. Here we are on our Titanic, we are cruising through icy North Atlantic waters, and we appear to be spending time trying to decide if we can prevent the collision, if we’ve already collided, or if we are already sinking.
    To extend the metaphor, we are re-arranging deck chairs. We should be minding our lifeboats.

    1. Bingo!
      And no one will name the helmsman either. It’s a matter of acting like we don’t want to know the crew list.
      Find me the mathematical odds of going out and in 1 evening in the US, you shoot 3 men, ALL of them from the same tribe.
      Ashkenazi Bolsheviks, and it’s all Cohencidence, right?
      Denial and ignorance of reality are killing us.

      1. We’re all just individuals, goyim! Only fools identify as part of a group. After all, individuals acting alone for the good of all beat teams working for their best interests at the expense of others, right?

    2. Prediction is hard, especially about the future. – Yogi Berra

      But if I drop an egg five feet above a tile floor? No psychic ability is required . . . .

  6. Divided and conquered from within and no compromise or reconciliation is possible.
    That has been broadcast since 2015 or whenever Trump came down the Wonkavator.
    Who knows what the useful idiots think that they will be getting out of the workers utopia but it won’t be that and the power tripping Kens and Karens just need a uniform and a weapon to move on from nudging.
    No, it isn’t fine but we work with what we have been dealt and it has been going on since the 1950’s this Culture War.

    1. You’re correct, except . . . FDR’s cabinet was filled with commies. And search for early communist hate on the Boy Scouts.

  7. It doesn’t take many to shut this whole thing down. Many say that hunger is what will get people off their butts. That’s coming soon. Ice Age Farmer put out this alarming video yesterday. Next year, maybe even this winter things will go sideways. When they start to take farmland for some kind of “carbon zero” scheme…well what do you think will happen.

    https://www.bitchute.com/video/ydE3JQmSPOaL/

    1. Mary Catherine,
      My prediction…
      A few terrs, either ‘sleeper’ state actors or bored pre-pubes, launch metallic balloons into electric lines and sub-stations.
      .
      Those could be ‘false-flag’, the residue is identical:
      * within seven days — economic collapse of fUSA (no more pussy-footing around with phases, we are instantly off the deep-end)
      * within thirty days — 300,000,000 Americans die (36,000,000 illegals skedaddle back south)
      * within sixty days — 5,500,000,000 chinese and Indian sub-continent inhabitants croak (their RulingElites have no issue with this)
      * within eighty days — formerly ‘eradicated’ plagues return… typhoid, tuberculosis, cholera, polio, STIs by the trainful.
      .
      Every female returns to the status of property.
      I suggest every female align with a potential war-lord ‘A’… with ‘B’ and ‘C’ as fall-backs.
      .
      Perpetual bureaucrat anthony fauci MD retires, a well-earned rest after a well-deserved career.
      Suddenly noticing TheMainStreamMedia is ignoring him, he joins the has-been bills — clinton and gates — on a well-publicized memorial tour of epstein island.
      .
      On a small organic teaching farm near the outskirts of Eugene, Oregon, an inexplicable trench is back-hoed.
      An astonishing number of nearby ‘ag-supplements’ in warehouse-pallet hovels draped in blue tarps are invited to a series of pot-latches… although their numbers diminish significantly after the second go-’round.

  8. I think you’re spot on as “location” is the operative word. South Side of Chicago? 10. Almost anywhere in the Rural South/Midwest and Rocky Mtn States, around 5 or 6.

    1. If I were more ambitious, a heat map of the country would be in order. But I’m not ambitious because I live in a a really, really cold spot.

  9. What you’re seeing depends very much where you’re looking from. It will be very different if you are inside a blue hive, on the edge of a blue hive, or somewhere in old America. The headlines (on either side) do not tell the story in the slightest. Portland, for example, remains an absolute mess. Antifa owns the suburbs there, now.

      1. Not ‘mandates’, DICTATES.
        DICTATES are from dictators.
        .
        ‘…more dictates from more dictators…’, until one day, there were no more dictators.

  10. Are we getting a daily crap sandwich, with extra sauce?
    Sure.

    In a Civil War?
    Not even close.

    Until we ARE.

    I’ve lived through two major riots, one city-wide, and that latter was…concerning.
    And probably like nothing anyone has seen, unless they lived inside of whatever they’re calling that commie sh*thole enclave in Seattle, at its height, or arrived here as a refugee from an actual failed state.

    When we become that, all bets are off, and ammo is king.

    We aren’t there yet.
    I suspect our arrival at that point, however, is inevitable.
    How far off cannot be precisely discerned with existing instrumentation.

    It’s always a good time to load magazines.
    But it’s nowhere near time to start unloading them at cyclic rates.
    At least, not if there’s anybody watching you.

    But I’m less concerned about the idea of a civil war, than I am about the concept that we’re heading into it like a blindfolded pig on rollerskates, zooming down an ice chute in the dark. Who doesn’t know about the ski jump, nor the tigers.

    1. Exactly. And if you’re not looking? You’ll never see those things. Again, a year too early is better than a day too late.

  11. “Who knew that telling an upset woman to “calm down” would have the opposite effect . . . every single time I’ve ever tried it?”

    As long as we are sharing our hard-won knowledge of women, I’ll add this: you can tease a woman for being short all day and she’ll just giggle and fake-punch your shoulder. Joke or even off-handedly reference that she is tall and you will have made an enemy for life.

    ===

    “I hate to think that I make one grammatical error and then my post is urined.”

    Grammar and spelling checks out.

    ===

    I don’t feel you gave France her full due, so in the interest of presenting all evidence for your readers to make their own decisions, I present:

    https://www.albinoblacksheep.com/text/france.html

    ===

    Wait, there was a serious post here too? I guess I should go back and read the whole article, not just the parts I skimmed through looking for jokes and women in bikinis (big let-down this week.)

    What it comes down to is we need control of local and state government. Without it, we’ll always be fighting on 2 fronts: the Leftists, and whatever cucks the Dems allowed to win an election, even if they have an (R) after their name. We aren’t going to win a wilderness guerrilla war as many fantasize about; rebellions only hang out in the boonies when they are on the ropes. Victory comes when you control cities and regions; far better to do so peacefully before anything serious kicks off.

    1. Hahahaha! Loved the French military history post. Great stuff.

      And, seriously, Pugsley has not yet figured that telling The Mrs. to “calm down” is like pouring gasoline laced with plutonium on a fire. Fun to watch.

      Yup. Local and state. Agreed.

  12. It’s really hard to understand exactly where we are in the evolution of the United States, or for the globe. In the past, vast numbers of humans were exterminated, either by natural causes, war, or genocide. It prevented the supposed critical point in the number of people that can be fed, sheltered, and allowed some sense of autonomy. Now, with all available information, such things are hard to hide, and huge numbers of deaths are hard to achieve with an unwilling populace.

    One solution is a manufactured epidemic, which can be controlled by causing unfounded fear, and people standing in line for the cure, which eliminates a substantial part of healthy people. This leaves less people to control, less infringing on the power of those with enough wealth to ignore politics, and by the time people are aware, it’s too late.

    Is this were we are? It can fit, which makes me hope we’re not at that point.

    1. One point: if someone had serious philosophical disagreement with “the jab” and couldn’t support his family without taking it, would he?

      Scary. I could quit. He couldn’t.

      1. That dynamic works in the state’s favor, only as long as no one is willing to start shooting rather than submit.

        As Cmdr. Mancuso observed in Hunt For Red October, “…the hard part about playing “Chicken”, is knowing when to flinch…

        Government doesn’t know that, has no idea whatsoever, in fact, and actually, never even heard of the concept of flinching.

        They are in the momentary transition phase, currently between “f**ked around” and “found out”.

        The learning that occurs next will be epic. So will be the rivers of blood.
        That level of illumination may even require the Bright White Light Of Knowledge to be unleashed.
        The last such country to be similarly illuminated was Japan, one August in 1945.

        Let your motto remain Semper Gumby: Always Flexible.

  13. If war is diplomacy carried on by other means (somewhat misquoting von Clausewitz), then perhaps what we’re now seeing is war carried on by other means. It has a number of the hallmarks of 4th Gen warfare, but it’s it’s own thing. I suppose that the downfall of the greatest experiment in democracy in history should be it’s own thing.

  14. We’re in a proxy war, but the exact reverse of what we’ve seen historically. Instead of state entities weaponizing populations against other state entities, it’s populations weaponizing state entities against other populations. That’s why defining this war is a difficult endeavor. The question isn’t whether we’re in a war, but whether this war will shift from one of proxy to one of peer on peer. This war going hot depends entirely on the proxy – in this case the US government – holding things together. When the proxy collapses, there’s no more middle man for the rival peers to trust with their brand of violence. Right now the violence is mostly political, but that’s because the left sees Biden as their instrument. If another Trump wins in 24, expect the left to go kinetic again. Whether the right responds this time remains to be seen.

    1. One way of looking at it is that our government is staging a color revolution against itself in order to justify violence against it’s population.

    2. Interesting. I’d add that the “unorganized” Left has full government support. Not so much on the Right.

      1. No, not “full”. Nor even anything like.
        Just “tacit”.

        That is the difference IRL between “concealment” and “cover”.

        As three trolls found out when they came up against young Mr. Rittenhouse.

        Trials and tribulations aside, he will eventually go home.
        Two of them never will, and the third is crippled for life.
        Dulce et decorum est.

        The morals of the the Rittenhouse Gambit are multiple:

        1) Don’t talk. Shoot.
        2) Do unto others, then split. Don’t hang about to answer questions afterwards.
        3) If you cannot be ID’ed, you cannot be ID’ed. You can’t prosecute a ghost. Ever.

        People ignore these lessons to their lifelong peril.

  15. I find the whole topic quite fascinating and have literally devoured every blog, article and commentary I can find about it. Not so much in eager anticipation, but rather Situational Awareness. This article has come the closest to quantifying a flashpoint, without trying to explain what the definition of “is” really is.

    If you buy into the systematic deconstruction of our Republic theory, which is highly plausible, (how else can you rationalize 10 months of what is unquestionably the most bizarre policy and behavior?), then you see 2A as the pesky obstacle that’s stopping Uncle Sam from turning America into a hot smoking mess. That’s why I haven given credence to Bracken’s lines in the sand metaphor.

    The Yellow Line begins with “common sense” stuff like prohibited types, maximum quantities and magazine limits. We’re pretty much there, in many respects.

    The Red Line is drawn with mandatory registration.

    The Deadline comes with door-to-door visitation.

    The most troubling revelation I have found in it all is the prevalence of Normalcy Bias. In even the most casual discussion circles, it creeps in like the fog. It was even asserted that CW2 would be physically impossible, as the military would put it down in a heartbeat. The military. You know, those uniformed guys running around the District of Criminals with empty magazines?

    Common signs of Normalcy Bias: 2A is about hunting. We have Internet and jet travel – nations that have that stuff don’t shoot at each other.

    I don’t read a lot of fiction, but based on relevance, I just finished Unintended Consequences, where the USGOV got the attention it seemed to have earned. I also recently read SHTF Survival Stories: Memories from the Balkan War by Selco Begovic, which will wipe the Normalcy Bias right off your face.

    Keep us posted, Mr. Wilder.

    1. Interesting post. I remember Selco writing about normalcy bias affecting him even after snipers were shooting up the city routinely. IIRC, he said the point when his normalcy bias evaporated was when he saw a shootout where the police responded, and were shot at. Then the police backed up, broke into a store, and ran out with arms full of merchandise to throw in their cop car as they drove off.

      I found it hard to imagine a CW2, as I assumed it had to be like CW1’s discrete borders between beligerants. Then I read “Civil War 2” by Thomas Chittum, and it’s hard to imagine how CW2 can’t happen. It is available on Amazon, and it can be found if you search “civil war 2, chittum, pdf”.

      Some stuff from Bracken that doesn’t appear on his website anymore that you might be interested in:

      https://www.americanpartisan.org/2020/05/when-the-music-stops-how-americas-cities-may-explode-in-violence/

      https://westernrifleshooters.blogspot.com/2010/07/bracken-cw2-cube-mapping-meta-terrain.html

      1. Thank you. Bracken’s got good words. I’ve read most of his stuff and saw the cube, which was revealing. The Music Stops piece is new to me. I’m always impressed with the timelessness of his thoughts. He is well studied, as are many of the contributors here. Well worth the clicks.

      2. Thank you. Bracken’s got good words. I’ve read most of his stuff and saw the cube, which was revealing. The Music Stops piece is new to me. I’m always impressed with the timelessness of his thoughts. He is well studied, as are many of the contributors here. Well worth the clicks.

      3. Thank you. Bracken’s got good words. I’ve read most of his stuff and saw the cube, which was revealing. The Music Stops piece is new to me. I’m always impressed with the timelessness of his thoughts. He is well studied, as are many of the contributors here. Well worth the clicks.

    2. Thank you, I will.

      But the military won’t have empty magazines if the Left sends them out against the Right. They’ll treat everyone with the same courtesy they treated the Randy Weaver’s boy or that church at Waco.

      1. Military vs. Right?

        Now I have a machinegun.
        Ho! Ho! Ho!”

        We’ve sent half the Army and most of the Marine Corps against, to date, three countries that weren’t having any, thanks.
        And that’s just since 1965, mind you. it never works out well for Big Green.

        You would think after three attempts, the lesson would have landed home.

        Trying it here?

        The Right will be going onto military bases, and shooting soldiers in the face, and driving loaded trucks home with the resultant toy hauls.

        And that’s by Tuesday, first week, of any such nonsense.

        And assuming the military doesn’t shoot TPTB themselves, on Monday, same week.

        The Ohio Notional Guard did pretty well against a bunch of patchouli-armed hippies.
        That isn’t going to go the same way against the Knob Creek Machinegun Shoot, and even 17-year-old privates have figured that out, let alone 28 year old sergeants, and 40 year old colonels.

        And they know if they ever take sides in that conflict, their reward afterwards ends with their hands wired together behind their backs, and them facedown in a ditch with a bullethole in the back of their heads. Followed, in most cases, by their entire families. Just to be safe and sure.

        This is why, to about a 99% certainty, any order of Military vs. civilians develops a sudden and chronic case of “Sorry, sir, but none of the engines will start in the motor pool, and this phone line is about to fail.” Followed by 500 Commanding Generals ordering base gates padlocked and barricaded, from the inside, until things quiet down outside.

        Times every US base in existence, worldwide, UFN.

        1. All posts and links have been excellent. So far in that time span big green has been sent out to support the MIC not win a war as Smedley Butler and Ike have stated. If it turns inward the MIC will suffer mightily. Maybe that’s what will stop them because who would pay them with no taxpayers left.

          I thank all for their insight, that’s what keeps me coming back to these blogs. Yes I know confirmation bias but the perspective and reasoning seems to be well thought out.

          May God have mercy on us all.

      2. ‘Cannot win against fUSA military’ [wrists flailing, pearls clutching, wailing in tiny circles]
        .
        Disagree.
        Presumes dressed lines facing dressed lines across open fields… or equivalent.
        .
        We do not need to kill drones.
        We ‘suggest’ alternatives to drone-operators and their families.
        .
        We do not need to assault any military base.
        We ‘encourage’ their suppliers to ‘postpone and re-direct’ deliveries of food, fuel, utilities.
        .
        The fUSA military?
        What can they do… threaten us with towel-snappings between their gender-reveal celebrations?
        .
        .
        One word:
        * a Black© female DI counting ‘MLK’ cadence
        https://vidmax.com/video/208076-watch-as-the-us-military-goes-woke-as-female-drill-sergeant-makes-masked-troops-chant-about-mlk

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