Civil War Weather Report #3: Violence, China, and Lots of Links

“I can promise you this will not silence your demons.  If you can’t control the violence, the violence controls you.” – Star Trek:  Voyager

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I really didn’t expect to do this so soon – the clock moved closer to midnight.  Last month was 6.  Now we’re at a 7.  The scale is from the first issue (Civil War II Weather Report: Spicy Time Coming)

  1. Those who have an opposing ideology are considered evil.
  2. People actively avoid being near those of opposing ideology.  Might move from communities or states just because of ideology.
  3. Common violence. Organized violence is occurring monthly.
  4. Opposing sides develop governing/war structures.  Just in case.

In this issue:  Front Matter – Violence Update – Forward Observer Video and Criticism – Logistics – Updated Civil War II Index – Who Benefits, Part II? – Chittum’s Book – Links

Front Matter

Welcome to Issue Three of the Civil War II Weather Report.  These posts are a bit different than the other posts here at Wilder Wealthy and Wise and consist of smaller segments covering multiple topics around the single focus of Civil War II, on the first Monday of every month.  Issue One is here (Civil War II Weather Report: Spicy Time Coming) and Issue Two is here (Civil War Weather Report #2, Censorship, Stalin, and a Bunch of Links).

Please keep the comments, emails, and links coming in – they provide a way for all of us to get smarter, faster.  You can comment below, or send me an email at movingnorth@gmail.com.  If I get an email, I’ll assume you don’t want your name mentioned or to be directly quoted (except for links), and I’ll honor that unless you explicitly give permission to refer to you or to quote you.

Violence Update

Last month this was the Censorship Update, and even before the El Paso shooting I had selected violence the topic of this month.  I had this section written before the El Paso shooting this weekend and had to (obviously) re-write it.  Here’s what I had written:

Almost all of the violence started on the Left, and was perpetrated by the Left.  The biggest story was the beating of Andy Ngo, though there were multiple other attacks on display.  July and August are typically months where violence is running high – heat seems to make riots, though I’m not sure if that’s changed now that air conditioning is more prevalent.

The level of violence is rising.  I would follow Remus’ advice:

“Unless one side or the other sends death squads into my neighborhood, I shall observe my Most Excellent and Inviolable Rule One For Survival:  stay away from crowds.”

If you’re not (like me) waiting every Tuesday for the Woodpile Report® (LINK), shame on you.

Obviously, El Paso changes what I have to say.

El Paso is a narrative that will likely have legs in the media for months – this is the shooting the Left has been dreaming of – a shooter who isn’t gang related, a Person of Color, Moslem, or going after Republicans.  And the shooter wasn’t in Chicago where last weekend (7/29/19) 9 were killed and 39 were wounded in what is a more or less “normal” level of violence.  This shooter fulfills the Narrative of the Left in ways that previous shooters haven’t.

I had a discussion with several people about El Paso today.  They were less surprised than I was about the violence – they reminded me about all of the violence from the Left, including the shooter that tried to kill Republican congressmen and the now endemic violence against supporters of even the most mainstream members of the Right whenever they appear in Leftist strongholds.  From their perspective, this was a response – a predictable response to the pressure being placed on the Right.

Do I think the Manifesto is fake?  Probably not.  Do I think that this is a “false flag”?  Again, probably not.  I’ll leave room for both of those things.

What comes next?  That’s tough.  I’d expect more violence from the Left, both disorganized (isolated beatings – groups engaging in random interracial violence) and organized (Antifa®).  I don’t expect more (near term) from the Right, but I must make clear – I didn’t expect El Paso.

Will it escalate?  I spent several hours going through comments on primarily Leftist sites on the Internet today.  What I came away with was, more or less, that they feel entirely justified in increasing the level of violence and see no connection with their hospitalizing assaults and “chemical milk shakes” since they are morally justified.

The polarity increased this weekend.  And if this is the level of polarity and violence we have when the economy is “good” – beware.  A recession will lead levels of violence not seen in the United States since 1865.

Forward Observer Video and Criticism

Last month I presented and gave a critique of the John Mark video about Civil War II.  The primary focus of the Weather Report are the conditions that lead to war, not conduct of the war itself, but it seemed like a good idea to discuss the video – it was on topic, suggested by a reader, and had a huge number of hits.  The John Mark video presented what I thought was a too optimistic view of the outcome of Civil War II.

Aesop, (who you should be reading whenever he posts, or you’ll miss gems like this) and his monthly Ebola Update LINK) had some criticism of Mark’s video in the comments.  He included a link to Sam Culper’s Forward Observer series that was a response to John Mark.

I think Mr. Culper was just a wee bit angry when he started the videos.  The videos are very good, and if you have an interest in this subject, I suggest that you review them as well.  Mr. Culper knows his stuff.

One mild criticism is that he indicates that we won’t have a World War II-type war or a replay of Civil War I.  I think we can all agree that’s a given and he probably could have skipped that.  This will be far uglier and resemble the breakup of Yugoslavia or of the Beatles®.  It will be nasty, and I think Mr. Culper’s thought that the Right wouldn’t lay siege to Los Angeles or New York because it would wreck the financial system or disrupt the economy is not a concern that the Right will have.  If it gets to that point, it’s not war to take over an economy.  The Right won’t care.

In the third video, he mentions Sir John Glubb’s The Fate of Empires and Search for Survival, which I discussed back in ‘17 (End of Empires, PEZ, and Decadence).  Glubb’s observations remain relevant as the end of the American experiment comes closer and he’s right to bring him up.

Again, the Forward Observer videos are good.  Watch them – make your own conclusions.

The reason I don’t try to delve too far into the predictions of how the war will unfold is that will depend on the initial conditions.  As Culper frequently and appropriately notes in the video, predictions are hard.  As Yogi Berra specifies, “especially about the future.”

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Wait until you hear about story hour.

But those initial conditions will end up determining both the course of the war, and the conclusion.  Beware:  Your opinion now will be (depending upon who wins) be held against you at the end.  In that case, it would be best for everyone if the Libertarians™ won, but I seem to note that they’re all off smoking weed and having deep conversations about Ayn Rand.

Updated Civil War II Index

Economic:  +10.42 last month, +1.78 this month.  Unemployment is slightly up – interest rates were slightly down, and the Dow was up.  If this is right, economic conditions are slowing.  While positive is good, this is less positive than last month.

Political Instability:  +10%.  This increase in instability is minor, compared to the drop (-46%) last month, and probably related to Mueller’s testimony.  I think the proximity to elections is actually having a calming effect.

Interest in Violence:  Up 8% this month, compared to 7% last month.  I expect the August numbers to skyrocket.

Illegal Aliens:  Down 38% last month to 104,000.  That sounds great, but last month was the highest ever at 144,000, and this month was the third highest ever.  So, down is good, but third highest is still bad.  For perspective, last year it was 43,000.  This is either sign of increased instability in the countries down South, or decreased fear of deportation.  There is no good news in this category.

Logistics

Last Weather Report I dropped a (more or less) throwaway line to the effect on the conduct of the war that:

The Left can be resupplied via air and ship.  “Emergency” supplies would head into coastal cities and sustain them forever, though Denver would fall soon enough.  Would Russia supply the heartland while the Chinese supplied the West Coast?

Rightly, Joe at Eaton Rapids Joe called me on it, and noted it on his blog that you should be reading, here (LINK).

One thing that is true is that it’s certainly not going to be possible to feed the entire United States externally during a war.  Feeding the Boston-New York-D.C. corridor which comprises over 20% of the United States population from external sources simply won’t happen, and I’m not sure if anyone in Europe will even try.

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What will happen without Doritos®?  And salsa?

But Mexico or China could feed Los Angeles, if they wanted to.  I put pencil to paper and found, that to give everyone in Los Angeles 1700 calories a day it’s a really small number of 20’ shipping containers of rice – 600 or so.  And, yes, China is a food importer, why would they export food to the United States, and a few million people to feed isn’t even rounding error on their current food supply.

Water would be tougher.  To secure the port would require troops setting up a perimeter, but I’d think that when the residents of Los Angeles figured out the machine guns won’t be shooting over their heads anymore, they’d stay well back.

Distribution would be a mess.  But the food can make it to the city.  Similar numbers work for San Francisco.  If you read below, however, I don’t think any of that will happen.

Who Benefits, Part II?

But who benefits from a civil war in the United States?  Internally to the United States, it depends on who wins.  Externally, the list of potential winners is long.  I wrote about China last week (China – What’s the deal?) it occurred to me that China is currently working on building a system so they don’t need the United States at all – I’d expect them to focus on having alternate sources for everything that they depend on the United States for, including food.  The end of the United States as a global power would allow them to move from a regional power to the leading global power.

China couldn’t defeat us militarily.  But if we defeated ourselves?  Bonus, and Sun Tzu would nod in approval!

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And we hope he didn’t ask him to wok the dog.

Civil War would allow Russia to increase influence in Europe, so this wouldn’t bother them much at all.  Europe?  Europe would lose their free army, but would gain the markets that the United States would leave.

Would there be a period of economic dislocation for all of those countries?  A period of economic depression?  Sure.  But there is the possibility that each of them would gain.

So, who would resupply those cities?  Maybe nobody.

Chittum’s Book

I originally thought I’d be reviewing Thomas W. Chittum’s book, Civil War Two (LINK) in this issue, but this update is long enough now.  Civil War Two came out in 1997, but his analysis is so accurate it’s like he wrote most of it last week.  I’ll review/summarize it starting no later than Monday, though it might take me more than one post to complete the review.

Links

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The missing link discovered zero, but didn’t tell anyone because he thought it was nothing.

First up is from Practical Eschatology.  Docent (the proprietor there) has an interesting look at mass immigration.

Notes on how fragile our infrastructure really is from Andrew Miller.

From Mat Bracken, two of the best pieces on Civil War Two, here and here.

From Arthur Sido, on bugging out.

Concerned American correctly noted that Matt is an excellent writer.  Buy his books.

From Ricky and Zerohedge.

Also from Ricky, on another divide.

From an e-mail, for perspective – Civil War on the Western Border and Partisans (Missouri).

Please keep the links coming!

Boston-Washington corridor map by Bill Rankin — Citynoise (talk · contribs) – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=8293465

 

Author: John

Nobel-Prize Winning, MacArthur Genius Grant Near Recipient writing to you regularly about Fitness, Wealth, and Wisdom - How to be happy and how to be healthy. Oh, and rich.

62 thoughts on “Civil War Weather Report #3: Violence, China, and Lots of Links”

  1. I stopped worrying about all this when Obama left office. I stopped worrying too soon. Most elucidating, sir. I think that is a word, and I possibly used it in the proper context. If not, please-let me know.

  2. I’d also recommend The Death of Yugoslavia episodes (6 of them) on YouTube from the BBC.

    Link to the first one is here -> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vDADy9b2IBM

    I found the first two to be the most interesting, i.e. how did we get from a seemingly nice European country to all out mayhem.

    The takeaways for me were: (1) It wasn’t really a country. It was a bunch of countries held together as a country *largely* by Tito himself and then inertia for a little bit, i.e. the post-Tito national slogan, “After Tito, Tito!” (2) Once you let one country go (such as Slovenia), then the whole enterprise comes flying apart with remarkable speed. (3) There were countries such as Croatia and Bosnia which declared independence, but there were hundreds of thousands of Serbians who didn’t feel the same way in both. (4) Serbia decided to remake Yugoslavia in its own image, which is why it was fine with letting Slovenia fly away.

    1. Thinker, agreed. Yugoslavia is one model, but I think it might be Yugoslavia times Northern Ireland plus Rwanda.

      The Balkans keep coming up, again and again.

  3. I agree with some of what you say BUT: IF the right ever grows man parts and fights. It will be “War to the knife. Knife to the hilt. With no quarter asked or given” (R.Heinlein) Taking out the interstate highways is as simple as building large tire fires under or on the bridges. Without the interstate high way system the mega cities will starve within weeks. No one is coming to save or help America anymore than they did Africa or any of the European civil wars of the last three decades. As things stand now ( late summer 2019) there is no evidence that ANY group on the right can or will fight at anything above the squad level. Even then they are so disorganized and fractious that IMO the communist have effectively won. Most “Militia’s” are so ill equipped and badly trained for irregular warfare that , as an infantry vet (US Army 1970’s) I don’t give them good odds on lasting a full month. The good news is that the “left” is also equipped with the same cheap M-16 knock offs as the right. That alone will limit the dead. The headline “9 dead and 46 wounded” says it all. Assault rifles were meant from the outset to WOUND, not kill. A live enemy is still in the fight until you kill him. An irregular trooper has only what he can move on his back. “ONE SHOT. ONE KILL” is the only way small independent militias can survive. AR-15’s CANNOT deliver. Nor can most models of the AK. HOWEVER: The AK (all models) is a drastic step up from any AR platform. Both are in every way inferior to any 7.62 NATO infantry rifle (NOT PISTOLS) and all “deer rifles”. I myself love the M-14 or M-1 Garand. BUT: if one really must have a carbine, the Fulton Armory M-1 ain’t bad. But almost none of you will read this and agree. Until it is too late, and you discover for yourself just how bad the AR is in the real world. As I told a young man with an “arm brace” pistol. “Your “weapon” is useless at anything above 100 yards, Sell that toy and get an infantry rifle or go home. We got enough Peter Pan’s already” Any rifle with less than a full military barrel is USELESS. We draw the line at 16 inches. No “tankers” No pistols. No “brace guns”. “Short shotguns” are OK as a breacher. or backup. NO CURRENT ISSUE CAMMO. We are not the army and really don’t need friendly fire incidents.

    1. The Fulton Armory M-1 basic model still retails for over $2000 and probably weighs close to 10 pounds. I am sure it is a swell gun but that is pretty pricey and heavy. Or a basic Ruger AR can be had for 25% of that price (or do-it-yourself from PSA even less), weighs about 2/3 the M1 and comes with inexpensive and widely available 30 round magazines. I guess the M1 is ideal in a European style war with lots of long-distance shooting but even here in the flatlands of Indiana you aren’t going to get a lot of shots of more than 100 yards thanks to buildings, corn fields and small woods. I live way out in the country and even from my house I have a very limited number of fields of fire of more than 100 yards. I don’t see us lining up across a battlefield of 300 yards and plinking at each other but I do think that people most likely to get into a gunfight will be doing so in suburbs, and who wants to lug around a very heavy rifle with significant recoil and a 24″ barrel in close quarters?

      I’ll take an AR and use the $1500 I saved to buy more ammo and food. Maybe I am wrong and if we both survive you can say “I told you so”.

      1. Oh and Arthur being in an isolated spot in the country is going to be just as bad as being in the city unless you have a Community of folks that have a plan in place for congregating in one spot and that you have enough supplies for everyone…

        1. Community is key. Modern Mayberry is pretty community focused. And we have food. Avoid Metropolis – Batman won’t save you . . .

      2. The AR -15 sucks as a weapon. I would joyfully carry a 23 pound BAR with a 50 pound mag belt, rather than what I consider the worst rifle and worst military round ever devised. I don’t own a Fulton Armory M-1 Garand.(I wrote M-1 CARBINE) I own and train with a 1956 Type 1 national Match M-1 Garand. That alone should tell you how little I value magazine size, or price tags. The 30.06 150 grain M2 ball has more retained kinetic energy (killing power) at 800 yards than the 5.56 has at the muzzle. The US military has been trying to rid itself of the AR-15/M-16/M-4 for almost 50 years. The pentagon knows it is the worlds worst military rife. It survives in service ONLY because of political kick backs, and payola. They are trying to replace the 5.56X45 for the same reason. It sucks on the battle field. You go ahead with your AR. It’s your G_D given right to carry whatever you want to. I’m old.(over 60) I’m slow. My M-1 is heavy. My LRB M-14SA isn’t any lighter. But I wouldn’t trade them for a million AR’s. I’m not trolling. I really hate the M-16/AR-15 and would never carry one again. I own 3 backup rifles.(not counting my “hunters”) Not a single one is 5.56. I won’t carry what I don’t trust. I pray that your 5.56 never fails you in the field. My M-16A1 did more than once a long time ago, and I swore I would never carry another.

        1. Your trolling because your bringing up a topic that has no relevance to the article at hand…I see no where in the article about the benefits of the AR15 and how you should use only that…For some reason you just can’t shut up about it…Sad That…

          1. It is relevant in that IMO NO group armed with 5.56 MM or stoner designed weapons can win a civil war. I want my liberty. That means we MUST win. We cannot win carrying clones of US issue carbines and using CURRENT issue cammo. I went on about it because I got flamed for criticizing the holy AR. I also wrote about how to cut off cities and starve them. Another point I made was that most “right wingers” will never fight. They will meekly surrender there firearms and ammunition. After that the federals will just take what they want and do as they will. But the only thing most will see is that I must be stupid for not loving the holy AR. The other thing I get flamed about is my protest of “stockpiling”. After a certain point it won’t work. At some point after the end of regular food shipments. Most people will have run out. At that point your stash is a HUGE target. So you get to decide. Do I stay at home and defend my stash that is too big to move? or do I go out and fight for my freedom. Most will decide to stay home IMO. Most food and all gas will be gone by the end of the first day. The interstates will be parking lots. Filled with “bug out’s” who are out of gas, and will be out of food in days. People run away from fighting army’s. They are on foot after the gas runs out. So what will it be? Stay home and fight the “golden hoard”? Or fight for your freedom? Cause you cannot do both. Now was that relevant?

          2. You are all over the place man might be time to up your dose just saying…So we should have 30 caliber weapons that the feds are going to take anyways since we aren’t going to fight because we have too much shit…Did I cover everything…Damn man get ahold of yourself… Maybe instead of freaking out online you should take care of your health so you can still be around when it all falls apart to show us all how badass you are and lead us to victory…Some people I tell ya….

          3. Shaking my head… Seriously you need some off the internet time to clear your head and that all I will say about that…

        2. Ray,

          You make a multitude of ignorant statements concerning small arms. Your stating the M16/M4/ARmalite platforms are “useless” tells me you know nothing about weaponry whether lethality of caliber, barrel length, weight or manufacturer. I suggest you take your “battle rifle”, a basic load of 7.62 NATO, and ruck filled with 40# of whatever and hump with it just 10 klicks. Your tired, old ass will wish for younger days.

          You are simply a blowhard fool.

    2. If (and I mean if) things get hot, there will be a drastic and quick evolution. As Mr. Heinlein said, there is a universal punishment for stupidity, and we will be in an environment where the safeguards from the past have disappeared.

      Food logistics is interesting. Near a grain silo is a good place to be.

  4. As far as the food goes, it isn’t an issue of X amount of food. It is a distribution issue. We send plenty of aid in the form of food to places like Haiti and Africa but people still starve because getting food from a central distribution point to individuals requires a lot of things to go right. Hell, we have provided $2.9 BILLION with a B in Federal aid to Baltimore and it is still a sh1thole and that is in our own country a few miles from the Imperial Capitol.

    1. Food will likely be the source of many an enduring fortune – Selco said as much from his Balkan experiences . . .

      1. Unhappy people and a lack of food for them is the “top two” problems. The solutions are BAU with trucks and electricity or being well away from their grasping hands. Away seems to
        be the best bet, with occasional supply run to urban depots for stuff you can’t get in the hinterboonies. I had a lot of fun at Goodwill Bins in pdx last saturday, getting a pile of useful stuff at 10% of retail or less. Summer is time to get wool and down cold weather gear at the lowest price, since summer is obviously going to last forever.

        If things get really bad, I hope that it’s in January, so travel and rioting is more unpleasant.

        Ar15 can be useful, with a minimum 20″ barrel. Shot placement is critical. Uncle has spent 50 years removing the suck, leaving a very fast 55 – 75 grain bullet that a grunt can carry twice as many as 7.62×51 for weight and size. AR15 lacks select fire, and you lack unlimited ammo from helicopters, so it’s not much more firepower than a bolt rifle when Only Hits Count. Militia use of this rifle requires rejection of us army strategy that assumes artillery explosives and CAS allowing Infantry to Hold Ground. You are on your own, with your self trained team, doing hasty ambushes featuring repurposed UXO’s, hungry cold wet. Hooray!

        1. Distance from people is your friend . . . maybe lots of distance. January, during a blizzard on the East Coast has always been (in my mind) the optimum time for Bad Guys to strike.

  5. Even if they had a plan already in place(which they don’t) they would be hard pressed to implement it…The cooperation effort alone with other countries to set that up would be astronomical…Also to have that work their would have to be some semblance of order in the population that is being helped which is fantasy because why would you expect people that have never been orderly to start being that when there is no ROL…I think it’s silly of us to even to analyze something like that when we don’t have any order amongst ourselves at this point…Now if we actually got our shit together and had a base of operations and had worked out the logistics and numbers of our own local areas and has that in the bag then maybe we could discuss the bigger problem of a CWII…But as it’s stands this is just video gaming for the right…Sad That…

  6. As far as violence….the guy in El Paso was another leftist. Assuming his manifesto is legit, he was going on and on about all the narratives the left holds dear. But…but…he was wanting to target Mexicans. Well, I guess the left DOES have a lot of racists….isn’t it the person most guilty who usually speaks up and accuses another of what they are guilty of?

      1. Yeah, they both are leftits. Texas dude railing against corporations and his weenie greenie eco stuff. The Ohio guy is beyond leftist…I think he has just fallen off the spectrum.

    1. I can see the point – there are significant elements of Leftist thought in his manifesto. Regardless, this one is going to be painted on the Right . . .

  7. The US feels like it is committing suicide.

    The elites control Wall Street, Hollywood, the media, and the government.

    Globalists wanting to destroy the USA with wars, welfare, debt, illegal immigrants, and tyranny is one thing, but Americans who just accept this are another.

    What if every conversation, book, movie, news story, bumper sticker, website, and song was about the collapse?

    Would Americans wake up, protest, prepare, buy guns and gold, and resist or would Americans just become jaded and do nothing?

    Is surrender the answer to tyranny?

    1. The US has been systematically poisoned for over 86 years at this point. It’s not suicide, it’s attempted murder.
      The push back is the first sign of fever in the victim. The fever isn’t the problem, it’s part of the solution.

      Surrender is an answer to tyranny. So is resistance. Politicians and their families have to sleep somewhere.

    2. FSF,

      The answer to tyranny is ORGANIZED action against the tyrants with deadly force. The problem I believe is simply the populace of Traditional Americans are not organized whatsoever.

      One can make declarations of resistance against the scum of .gov, all one wants. Blather here, remark there, but without an organization of even a reinforced rifle squad, the bad guys will have nothing to fear.

      This once great nation is in it’s death throes.

        1. Hello, my brother. Let me know when you are headed to my A/O. Breakfast/lunch is on me. Bleib ubrig.

  8. I look at preparing for the 1’st Civil war(1861-1865 a war of succession)same as preparing for any man made or natural disaster as the results short of a nuke/planet killing asteroid about the same.I see more folks prepping/working with others the last few years and tis a good thing as folks learn more skills/add to the pantry/buy another box of ammo what have you.The end may come today or not for years,either way you will use the skills and goods you acquire so keep at it,and remember,the smalls add up.

    I know tis a pain and all but try and introduce new folks you like/feel you trust to getting ready for tougher times,can be a personal disaster that one also can use acquired goods ect.,not a national or world wide one,the more folks on board the better the odds of perhaps again returning to some level of a civil life that respects the rights oftohers.

  9. John – – Instead of a monthly Weather Report, now that things are swiftly changing, I suggest you do an Updated CW II Weather Report as The Schumer Keeps Hitting The Fan, incrementally. For example, I submit this astute observation from the reliable and yet ever so cheesy, Stilton Jarlsberg.

    Source of following: http://stiltonsplace.blogspot.com/

    According to pretty much every Democrat running for president, Trump is the worst kind of racist, sexist, genocidal white supremacist…as is every single person who cast a vote for Trump, even if that vote was cast solely to keep Hillary’s thoroughly corrupt keister out of the Oval Office. We all pulled the triggers at the mass shootings, we’re all drenched in blood and, to hear the Left tell it, nothing could make us happier. There are no gradations or extenuating circumstances in the Left’s rhetoric: every Trump supporter embodies ultimate evil, and none of us will deserve mercy when Civil War II breaks out.

    This isn’t the kind of garden variety nonsense we’re used to hearing from the Left. This is dangerous and inflammatory, quite literally the sort of insane rhetoric that Adolf Hitler used to inspire an epidemic of madness and murder that tore the world apart. Now, half of our population is being force fed lies around the clock to foment the kind of hate and division which will result in more, not fewer, deaths of innocents.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Good stuff, yes? But to put it into perspective there is this movie, “The Hunt” which was set for release on 27 Sept but appears now to have been pulled in light of the shootings (false flags ???? Hmmmm…). Story line is that Libtards get to hunt for sport a group of Trumpian-deplorables. See: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/ads-pulled-hunt-wake-mass-shootings-1229829

    To me, this movie and the talk that Stilton refers to earlier in his discussion, would raise the metrics in your Civil War II Index (Interest in Violence) “most significantly”.

    Now as to food; you are correct that having control of a granary/silo of grain could be an advantage. However, if the electric grid is out, moving that grain to where it is needed and in a manner where barter is available will be nearly impossible. Plus your supplies must be guarded including those in transit to the point where bartering will take place. And please note that these huge grain bins have blowers and even propane heated air to dry out the grain to prevent it from spontaneous combustion. With loss of grid could come loss of the food stored within….

    1. Some very good points . . . if situations warrant, I’ll have a quicker update. I hope that’s NOT the case, but fear it will be.

      I’ll check on the drying.

  10. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=qe4-7IgMbsg
    https://www.reddit.com/r/KotakuInAction/comments/65tc12/sargons_this_week_in_stupid_16042017_with_main/
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=z0MaGON-gQg
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=50UACEQOe4E
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=vw9zyxm860Q
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3aZuj_SDqDo
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=O_ldHq3NzC0
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=muoR8Td44UE

    These are older videos, from mostly, and littered with commentary and memes, so not the most objective or unbiased or whatever, but I’m thinking as tensions ramp up and they look for triggers for gun collection, or if some jump the gun and try to get Civil War 2: Electric Boogaloo started early, we’ll see more small skirmishes like the ones here. These are riots from the election cycle and aftermath that get to the point of being more battle and charge esque than pure chaotic rioting, so I think that is significant. First two links are the same video, but the second one somewhat bypasses the youtube filtering and age/account based censorship. There’s some Based Stick Man themed vids as the ones I could find showing conflict without having too much other stuff over the footage. Then how I think some of the warfare will change and how some enemy command, control, and other such points might be located in the last couple videos. Namely, the captures of the HWNDU flag by 4chan. If the internet did that as a joke, if the internet was still accesible to most in a civil war, what would/could it do in an active state of war? Then the way they got the bikeelock guy, as well. Perhaps these are less for indicators of the coming strife, and more what I think might happen in it. I mean, as reference, 4chan did once call an airstrike on a terrorist hide out. War has both changed it not changed, and everything is a little bit…. concerning.

    1. I don’t know about the Internet. That’ll be the subject of a future post. But it was designed to survive a nuclear war . . . .

    2. That is an interesting point. If there isn’t an emp or other such event that knocks the power/internet out, crowd-sourced, effectively free, internet surveillance would be a hell of a way to get a hit on important commanders. I mean there’s enough worry about forcing and other identity theft as is, plus if commanders are people addicted to social media with no thoughts of/on opsec, it could be super easy to track them down. Would certainly be a new dimension of warfare. If the internet were to stay up, live streams and vids of battles could be very interesting strategically and/or tactically, sorta like films of other teams for football games and stuff

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